Jay Hieron vs.
Jake Ellenberger
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Jay Hieron
Full career not yet synced for Jay Hieron — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500
Jake Ellenberger
Full career not yet synced for Jake Ellenberger — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Jay Hieron
Distance 91.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.5% (norm 8.1%)
Jake Ellenberger
Distance 74.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.2% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Jay Hieron
Head 82.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.6% (norm 8.4%)
Jake Ellenberger
Head 86.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Hieron L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Ellenberger L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 40 / 150 | 26.7% | 38.6% | 259 / 791 | 32.7% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 3 / 5 | too few to rate | 67.8% | 83 / 129 | 64.3% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 4 / 9 | too few to rate | 67.2% | 75 / 140 | 53.6% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 23 / 135 | 17.0% | 37.2% | 307 / 912 | 33.7% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 8 / 10 | too few to rate | 70.7% | 72 / 101 | 71.3% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 16 / 19 | too few to rate | 82.9% | 38 / 47 | 80.9% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Hieron L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Ellenberger L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 41 / 122 | 33.6% | 39.0% | 338 / 1002 | 33.7% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 10 / 17 | too few to rate | 68.9% | 73 / 112 | 65.2% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 27 / 39 | 69.2% | 68.0% | 67 / 102 | 65.7% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 60 / 155 | 38.7% | 35.6% | 314 / 986 | 31.8% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 8 / 12 | too few to rate | 69.6% | 88 / 137 | 64.2% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 10 / 11 | too few to rate | 82.1% | 76 / 93 | 81.7% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ellenberger has more cage time on record.