Jay Cucciniello vs.
Brad Katona
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Jay Cucciniello
Full career not yet synced for Jay Cucciniello — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
Brad Katona
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 4 | 5 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 10 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.88 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 4 finish wins over 19 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.6 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Jay Cucciniello
Distance 93.8% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 1.6% (norm 6.5%)
Brad Katona
Distance 80.2% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 8.9% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Jay Cucciniello
Head 85.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 1.6% (norm 7.8%)
Brad Katona
Head 79.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.6% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Cucciniello L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Katona L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 13 / 60 | 21.7% | 40.9% | 425 / 889 | 47.8% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 1 / 3 | too few to rate | 70.8% | 86 / 121 | 71.1% | 68.7% |
| On the ground | 0 / 1 | too few to rate | 69.2% | 71 / 99 | 71.7% | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 8 / 55 | 14.5% | 37.2% | 414 / 886 | 46.7% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 5 / 8 | too few to rate | 68.2% | 74 / 116 | 63.8% | 66.8% |
| To the legs | 1 / 1 | too few to rate | 80.7% | 94 / 107 | 87.9% | 79.4% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Cucciniello L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Katona L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 50 / 81 | 61.7% | 39.2% | 489 / 1046 | 46.7% | 39.3% |
| In the clinch | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 70.3% | 54 / 68 | 79.4% | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 21 / 30 | 70.0% | 69.4% | 32 / 42 | 76.2% | 72.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 42 / 74 | 56.8% | 35.9% | 406 / 926 | 43.8% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 8 / 13 | too few to rate | 67.9% | 98 / 148 | 66.2% | 66.0% |
| To the legs | 21 / 24 | too few to rate | 81.5% | 71 / 82 | 86.6% | 79.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Katona has more cage time on record.