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Jason Saggo vs. Gilbert Burns

UFC 3-3-0 vs. 15-10-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
3-3-0
UFC record
15-10-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
40
AgeΔ 0 yrs
40
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 0"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
109.1
Layoff (months)Δ 103 mo
6.1
LLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Jason Saggo hunts takedowns — 2.33 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Jason Saggo's takedown defense leaks — 23% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Gilbert Burns hunts takedowns — 2.04 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Jason Saggo

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 33
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.1 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Gilbert Burns

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1510
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.21 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1612.50/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
9743.16/min · norm 3.17
1892.94/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
11353.68/min · norm 3.08
39.8%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
48.1%norm 44.75%
52.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
52.5%norm 55.25%
10.23/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
40.19/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jason Saggo

Distance 77.3% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 3.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 19.8% (norm 8.0%)

Gilbert Burns

Distance 84.3% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 8.5% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jason Saggo

Head 71.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 16.3% (norm 8.0%)

Gilbert Burns

Head 74.4% (norm 78.3%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.9% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Saggo L/AAccLightweight med Burns L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 102 / 313 32.6% 38.3% 737 / 1708 43.1% 38.5%
In the clinch 6 / 12 too few to rate 67.5% 99 / 144 68.8% 67.8%
On the ground 53 / 80 66.2% 68.8% 138 / 173 79.8% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 90 / 289 31.1% 35.1% 571 / 1506 37.9% 36.4%
To the body 25 / 50 50.0% 69.1% 216 / 279 77.4% 70.7%
To the legs 46 / 66 69.7% 81.8% 187 / 240 77.9% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Saggo L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Burns L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 116 / 281 41.3% 38.8% 957 / 2144 44.6% 39.1%
In the clinch 24 / 37 64.9% 68.6% 89 / 121 73.6% 68.9%
On the ground 49 / 77 63.6% 68.0% 89 / 126 70.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 137 / 324 42.3% 35.2% 766 / 1896 40.4% 35.6%
To the body 28 / 37 75.7% 68.2% 196 / 298 65.8% 69.6%
To the legs 24 / 34 70.6% 81.5% 173 / 197 87.8% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1040.0% acc · 2.33/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
4235.6% acc · 2.04/15 · norm 1.31
323.1% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
2253.7% def · norm 63.9%
17:4127.5% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
70:2122.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
13:283:08 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
36:521:47 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
90.44/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Burns has more cage time on record.