BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jason MacDonald vs.
Demian Maia

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-8-0 Jason MacDonald · UFC
22-11-0 Demian Maia · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-8-0
UFC record
22-11-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
51
AgeΔ 3 yrs
48
6'3"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
80"
ReachΔ 8"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
170.7
Layoff (months)Δ 108.9 mo
61.8
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jason MacDonald is a submission threat — 1.97 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Demian Maia is a submission threat — 0.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Demian Maia owns the mat — in control 38% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jason MacDonald

Full career not yet synced for Jason MacDonald — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Demian Maia

Full career not yet synced for Demian Maia — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 16-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1301.55/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
7391.80/min · norm 3.17
2262.70/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
8462.07/min · norm 3.06
52.8%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
43.6%norm 44.9%
46.9%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
63.6%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.04/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jason MacDonald

Distance 43.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 30.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 25.6% (norm 10.3%)

Demian Maia

Distance 70.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 22.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jason MacDonald

Head 63.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 27.2% (norm 8.4%)

Demian Maia

Head 88.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone MacDonald L/AAccMiddleweight med Maia L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 24 / 107 22.4% 40.5% 371 / 1188 31.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 61 / 76 80.3% 70.3% 89 / 135 65.9% 67.8%
On the ground 45 / 63 71.4% 69.1% 279 / 373 74.8% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 50 / 156 32.1% 38.9% 592 / 1493 39.7% 37.2%
To the body 20 / 23 too few to rate 71.7% 108 / 153 70.6% 70.7%
To the legs 60 / 67 89.6% 83.3% 39 / 50 78.0% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs MacDonald L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Maia L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 41 / 118 34.7% 39.5% 655 / 2026 32.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 51 / 75 68.0% 70.9% 58 / 95 61.1% 68.9%
On the ground 134 / 233 57.5% 69.0% 133 / 206 64.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 191 / 381 50.1% 37.9% 567 / 1924 29.5% 35.6%
To the body 23 / 27 85.2% 71.3% 106 / 185 57.3% 69.6%
To the legs 12 / 18 too few to rate 82.1% 173 / 218 79.4% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

816.3% acc · 1.43/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
6824.8% acc · 2.49/15 · norm 1.27
635.3% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2461.5% def · norm 63.9%
31:0837.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
155:1937.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
35:186:19 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
49:591:49 per 15 · norm 3:15
111.97/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
270.99/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Maia has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.