BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jason Lambert vs.
Renato Sobral

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 Jason Lambert · UFC
6-4-0 Renato Sobral · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
6-4-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
51.2
AgeΔ 0.3 yrs
50.9
6'3"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
75"
ReachΔ 0"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
214.9
Layoff (months)Δ 12.4 mo
227.3
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Renato Sobral is a submission threat — 3.16 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Jason Lambert is a submission threat — 2.36 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Renato Sobral hunts takedowns — 2.97 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jason Lambert

Full career not yet synced for Jason Lambert — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Renato Sobral

Full career not yet synced for Renato Sobral — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1433.21/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
1622.01/min · norm 3.41
821.84/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
1011.25/min · norm 3.35
58.1%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
52.3%norm 48.3%
50.9%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
50.7%norm 52.9%
31.01/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jason Lambert

Distance 23.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 24.8% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 52.0% (norm 10.4%)

Renato Sobral

Distance 29.0% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 61.0% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jason Lambert

Head 76.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 9.7%)

Renato Sobral

Head 79.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.6% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 10.0% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lambert L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Sobral L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 14 / 57 24.6% 41.4% 37 / 90 41.1% 41.4%
In the clinch 48 / 61 78.7% 70.9% 20 / 31 64.5% 70.9%
On the ground 81 / 128 63.3% 72.3% 105 / 189 55.6% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 89 / 188 47.3% 38.9% 110 / 246 44.7% 38.9%
To the body 39 / 42 92.9% 71.9% 25 / 33 75.8% 71.9%
To the legs 15 / 16 too few to rate 81.8% 27 / 31 87.1% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lambert L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Sobral L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 22 / 66 33.3% 40.4% 39 / 95 41.1% 40.4%
In the clinch 26 / 50 52.0% 68.7% 11 / 16 too few to rate 68.7%
On the ground 34 / 51 66.7% 70.4% 51 / 94 54.3% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 60 / 136 44.1% 37.5% 82 / 181 45.3% 37.5%
To the body 12 / 20 too few to rate 72.3% 12 / 16 too few to rate 72.3%
To the legs 10 / 11 too few to rate 83.0% 7 / 8 too few to rate 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

436.4% acc · 1.35/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1666.7% acc · 2.97/15 · norm 0.87
628.6% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
550.0% def · norm 66.7%
15:4035.2% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
41:2651.4% of cage time · norm 16.5%
21:527:21 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
23:214:20 per 15 · norm 2:48
72.36/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
173.16/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Sobral has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.