BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jason Lambert vs.
Branden Lee Hinkle

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 Jason Lambert · UFC
1-2-0 Branden Lee Hinkle · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
51.2
AgeΔ 1.8 yrs
53
6'3"
HeightΔ 0"
6'3"
75"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
214.9
Layoff (months)Δ 26.4 mo
241.3
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Branden Lee Hinkle is a submission threat — 4.34 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Jason Lambert is a submission threat — 2.36 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Branden Lee Hinkle hunts takedowns — 4.34 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jason Lambert

Full career not yet synced for Jason Lambert — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Branden Lee Hinkle

Full career not yet synced for Branden Lee Hinkle — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1433.21/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
362.61/min · norm 3.36
821.84/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
543.91/min · norm 3.19
58.1%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
69.2%norm 47.8%
50.9%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
26.0%norm 52.5%
31.01/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jason Lambert

Distance 23.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 24.8% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 52.0% (norm 10.4%)

Branden Lee Hinkle

Distance 5.8% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 19.2% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 75.0% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jason Lambert

Head 76.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 9.7%)

Branden Lee Hinkle

Head 73.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 25.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 1.9% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lambert L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Hinkle L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 14 / 57 24.6% 41.4% 0 / 3 too few to rate 40.1%
In the clinch 48 / 61 78.7% 70.9% 8 / 10 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 81 / 128 63.3% 72.3% 28 / 39 71.8% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 89 / 188 47.3% 38.9% 23 / 38 60.5% 38.9%
To the body 39 / 42 92.9% 71.9% 12 / 13 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 15 / 16 too few to rate 81.8% 1 / 1 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lambert L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Hinkle L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 22 / 66 33.3% 40.4% 0 / 1 too few to rate 40.7%
In the clinch 26 / 50 52.0% 68.7% 11 / 14 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 34 / 51 66.7% 70.4% 43 / 58 74.1% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 60 / 136 44.1% 37.5% 34 / 52 65.4% 38.8%
To the body 12 / 20 too few to rate 72.3% 15 / 16 too few to rate 75.1%
To the legs 10 / 11 too few to rate 83.0% 5 / 5 too few to rate 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

436.4% acc · 1.35/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
457.1% acc · 4.34/15 · norm 0.95
628.6% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
266.7% def · norm 64.3%
15:4035.2% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
6:3848.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
21:527:21 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
6:126:43 per 15 · norm 2:28
72.36/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
44.34/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lambert has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.