BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jared Rosholt vs.
Aleksei Oleinik

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-2-0 Jared Rosholt · UFC
9-8-0 Aleksei Oleinik · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-2-0
UFC record
9-8-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
40
AgeΔ 9.1 yrs
49.1
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
75"
ReachΔ 5"
80"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
126
Layoff (months)Δ 79.8 mo
46.2
LWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Aleksei Oleinik is a submission threat — 1.95 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Jared Rosholt owns the mat — in control 42% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Jared Rosholt hunts takedowns — 1.83 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jared Rosholt

Full career not yet synced for Jared Rosholt — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Aleksei Oleinik

Full career not yet synced for Aleksei Oleinik — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2222.08/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
3803.29/min · norm 3.36
1621.52/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
4403.80/min · norm 3.19
46.1%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
48.9%norm 47.8%
59.9%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
44.3%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
20.26/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jared Rosholt

Distance 63.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 15.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 21.4% (norm 9.3%)

Aleksei Oleinik

Distance 79.8% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 15.2% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jared Rosholt

Head 78.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 12.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 8.7% (norm 7.6%)

Aleksei Oleinik

Head 79.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.1% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rosholt L/AAccHeavyweight med Oleinik L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 93 / 304 30.6% 40.1% 266 / 620 42.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 53 / 75 70.7% 70.6% 86 / 118 72.9% 70.6%
On the ground 76 / 103 73.8% 70.2% 28 / 39 71.8% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 137 / 379 36.1% 38.9% 239 / 615 38.9% 38.9%
To the body 48 / 61 78.7% 76.8% 91 / 102 89.2% 76.8%
To the legs 37 / 42 88.1% 87.8% 50 / 60 83.3% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rosholt L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Oleinik L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 113 / 328 34.5% 40.7% 248 / 555 44.7% 40.7%
In the clinch 28 / 50 56.0% 70.6% 85 / 110 77.3% 70.6%
On the ground 21 / 26 80.8% 72.0% 107 / 125 85.6% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 118 / 341 34.6% 38.8% 347 / 678 51.2% 38.8%
To the body 33 / 51 64.7% 75.1% 67 / 85 78.8% 75.1%
To the legs 11 / 12 too few to rate 84.4% 26 / 27 96.3% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1341.9% acc · 1.83/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
1446.7% acc · 1.82/15 · norm 0.95
866.7% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
937.5% def · norm 64.3%
44:1341.5% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
35:1230.4% of cage time · norm 17.2%
9:591:24 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
33:554:23 per 15 · norm 2:28
10.14/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
151.95/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Oleinik has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.