BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jared Papazian vs.
Dustin Pague

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-3-0 Jared Papazian · UFC
1-5-0 Dustin Pague · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-3-0
UFC record
1-5-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
38.5
AgeΔ 0.5 yrs
39
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
67"
ReachΔ 7"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
163.7
Layoff (months)Δ 10.2 mo
153.5
LLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Dustin Pague is a submission threat — 2.57 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Jared Papazian rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Opponents land 51% of their head shots on Dustin Pague, vs a 35% Bantamweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jared Papazian

Full career not yet synced for Jared Papazian — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Dustin Pague

Full career not yet synced for Dustin Pague — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1113.33/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
961.65/min · norm 3.52
1273.81/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
1732.96/min · norm 3.58
39.5%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
53.6%norm 43.4%
44.8%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
41.2%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jared Papazian

Distance 88.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 1.4% (norm 6.5%)

Dustin Pague

Distance 74.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 8.4% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 17.3% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jared Papazian

Head 83.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 8.4%)

Dustin Pague

Head 71.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 15.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Papazian L/AAccBantamweight med Pague L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 91 / 248 36.7% 39.0% 58 / 133 43.6% 39.0%
In the clinch 18 / 29 62.1% 68.7% 13 / 15 too few to rate 68.7%
On the ground 2 / 4 too few to rate 70.2% 25 / 31 80.6% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 77 / 234 32.9% 34.9% 54 / 128 42.2% 34.9%
To the body 22 / 33 66.7% 66.8% 18 / 23 too few to rate 66.8%
To the legs 12 / 14 too few to rate 79.4% 24 / 28 85.7% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Papazian L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Pague L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 91 / 188 48.4% 39.3% 81 / 166 48.8% 39.3%
In the clinch 30 / 35 85.7% 70.4% 25 / 27 92.6% 70.4%
On the ground 6 / 7 too few to rate 72.4% 67 / 101 66.3% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 65 / 156 41.7% 34.9% 121 / 236 51.3% 34.9%
To the body 38 / 46 82.6% 66.0% 14 / 19 too few to rate 66.0%
To the legs 24 / 28 85.7% 79.1% 38 / 39 97.4% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
444.4% acc · 1.03/15 · norm 1.12
950.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
555.6% def · norm 66.7%
5:1315.6% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
13:0722.5% of cage time · norm 17.4%
11:585:22 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
28:477:23 per 15 · norm 2:24
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
102.57/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Pague has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.