Jared Cannonier vs. Kelvin Gastelum

UFC 11-10-0 vs. 14-11-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
11-10-0
UFC record
14-11-0 (1 NC)
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
42
AgeΔ 8 yrs
34
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
77"
ReachΔ 6"
71"
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
0.7
Layoff (months)Δ 3.2 mo
3.9
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Jared Cannonier rarely shoots — 0.77 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Jared Cannonier absorbs 4.36 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Kelvin Gastelum carries real power — 0.43 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Jared Cannonier

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1110
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.07 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Kelvin Gastelum

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1411
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12454.25/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
12693.65/min · norm 3.25
12774.36/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
12223.52/min · norm 3.20
49.4%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 47.4%
55.9%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
57.3%norm 53.8%
70.36/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
100.43/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jared Cannonier

Distance 88.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 10.3%)

Kelvin Gastelum

Distance 90.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jared Cannonier

Head 76.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.4%)

Kelvin Gastelum

Head 80.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cannonier L/AAccMiddleweight med Gastelum L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1007 / 2223 45.3% 40.5% 1082 / 2695 40.1% 40.5%
In the clinch 146 / 186 78.5% 70.3% 109 / 171 63.7% 70.3%
On the ground 92 / 113 81.4% 69.1% 78 / 129 60.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 779 / 1918 40.6% 38.9% 824 / 2419 34.1% 38.9%
To the body 252 / 341 73.9% 71.7% 233 / 326 71.5% 71.7%
To the legs 214 / 263 81.4% 83.3% 212 / 250 84.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cannonier L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Gastelum L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1137 / 2668 42.6% 39.5% 1052 / 2613 40.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 83 / 127 65.4% 70.9% 102 / 153 66.7% 70.9%
On the ground 57 / 98 58.2% 69.0% 68 / 97 70.1% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 870 / 2369 36.7% 37.9% 768 / 2234 34.4% 37.9%
To the body 233 / 328 71.0% 71.3% 274 / 406 67.5% 71.3%
To the legs 174 / 196 88.8% 82.1% 180 / 223 80.7% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1545.5% acc · 0.77/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
2435.3% acc · 1.04/15 · norm 1.42
4664.8% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
5560.4% def · norm 63.1%
36:2512.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
47:1513.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
36:091:51 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
51:252:13 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
20.09/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gastelum has more cage time on record.