BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jared Cannonier vs.
Caio Borralho

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-10-0 Jared Cannonier · UFC
8-1-0 Caio Borralho · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-10-0
UFC record
8-1-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
42
AgeΔ 9 yrs
33
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
77"
ReachΔ 2"
75"
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
0.6
Layoff (months)Δ 4.4 mo
5
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jared Cannonier rarely shoots — 0.77 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Jared Cannonier absorbs 4.36 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Caio Borralho owns the mat — in control 27% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jared Cannonier

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1110
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.07 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Caio Borralho

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 101
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.59 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12454.25/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
4593.30/min · norm 3.25
12774.36/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
3662.63/min · norm 3.20
49.4%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
55.1%norm 47.4%
55.9%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
59.8%norm 53.8%
70.36/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.32/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jared Cannonier

Distance 88.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 10.3%)

Caio Borralho

Distance 88.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 2.5% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 8.9% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jared Cannonier

Head 76.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.4%)

Caio Borralho

Head 71.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cannonier L/AAccMiddleweight med Borralho L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1007 / 2223 45.3% 40.5% 378 / 738 51.2% 40.5%
In the clinch 146 / 186 78.5% 70.3% 17 / 21 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 92 / 113 81.4% 69.1% 64 / 74 86.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 779 / 1918 40.6% 38.9% 298 / 595 50.1% 38.9%
To the body 252 / 341 73.9% 71.7% 84 / 146 57.5% 71.7%
To the legs 214 / 263 81.4% 83.3% 77 / 92 83.7% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cannonier L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Borralho L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1137 / 2668 42.6% 39.5% 331 / 861 38.4% 39.5%
In the clinch 83 / 127 65.4% 70.9% 11 / 12 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 57 / 98 58.2% 69.0% 24 / 38 63.2% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 870 / 2369 36.7% 37.9% 201 / 653 30.8% 37.9%
To the body 233 / 328 71.0% 71.3% 89 / 156 57.1% 71.3%
To the legs 174 / 196 88.8% 82.1% 76 / 102 74.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1545.5% acc · 0.77/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1045.5% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 1.42
4664.8% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
1473.7% def · norm 63.1%
36:2512.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
37:1826.9% of cage time · norm 19.75%
36:091:51 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
10:231:07 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
40.43/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cannonier has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.