BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jamie Varner vs.
Abel Trujillo

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-6-0 Jamie Varner · UFC
6-4-0 (1 NC) Abel Trujillo · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-6-0
UFC record
6-4-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
41.8
AgeΔ 1.1 yrs
42.9
5'8"
HeightΔ 0"
5'8"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
139.7
Layoff (months)Δ 36.1 mo
103.6
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jamie Varner hunts takedowns — 4.56 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Jamie Varner is a submission threat — 1.19 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Abel Trujillo carries real power — 0.44 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jamie Varner

Full career not yet synced for Jamie Varner — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Abel Trujillo

Full career not yet synced for Abel Trujillo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2433.21/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2732.65/min · norm 3.42
2052.71/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2382.31/min · norm 3.37
38.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
41.2%norm 43.5%
58.3%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.7%norm 56.3%
20.40/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.44/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jamie Varner

Distance 70.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 20.0% (norm 8.0%)

Abel Trujillo

Distance 73.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 14.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 12.4% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jamie Varner

Head 86.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.3% (norm 7.9%)

Abel Trujillo

Head 85.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Varner L/AAccLightweight med Trujillo L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 159 / 449 35.4% 37.9% 145 / 483 30.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 32 / 63 50.8% 67.3% 63 / 97 64.9% 67.3%
On the ground 52 / 128 40.6% 69.1% 65 / 82 79.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 183 / 555 33.0% 35.0% 195 / 568 34.3% 35.0%
To the body 49 / 70 70.0% 69.1% 59 / 75 78.7% 69.1%
To the legs 11 / 15 too few to rate 81.9% 19 / 19 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Varner L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Trujillo L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 151 / 401 37.7% 38.9% 176 / 487 36.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 20 / 42 47.6% 68.6% 35 / 64 54.7% 68.6%
On the ground 34 / 49 69.4% 68.0% 27 / 39 69.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 142 / 413 34.4% 35.1% 153 / 458 33.4% 35.1%
To the body 25 / 37 67.6% 68.1% 41 / 65 63.1% 68.1%
To the legs 38 / 42 90.5% 81.5% 44 / 67 65.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2360.5% acc · 4.56/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1545.5% acc · 2.18/15 · norm 1.38
1066.7% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2340.4% def · norm 64.0%
20:1326.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
18:5518.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
13:042:35 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
29:544:20 per 15 · norm 2:46
61.19/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
30.44/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Trujillo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.