BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

James Krause vs.
Warlley Alves

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-4-0 James Krause · UFC
8-8-0 Warlley Alves · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-4-0
UFC record
8-8-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
40.2
AgeΔ 4.6 yrs
35.6
6'2"
HeightΔ 3"
5'11"
73"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
69.6
Layoff (months)Δ 43 mo
26.6
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

James Krause is a submission threat — 0.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Warlley Alves is a submission threat — 0.85 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
James Krause outworks the Lightweight division — 5.15 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

James Krause

Full career not yet synced for James Krause — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Warlley Alves

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 88
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.02 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7825.15/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
4853.04/min · norm 3.17
6574.33/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
6293.95/min · norm 3.06
50.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
48.1%norm 44.9%
61.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
50.7%norm 55.25%
30.30/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.28/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

James Krause

Distance 93.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 8.0%)

Warlley Alves

Distance 85.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

James Krause

Head 82.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.9%)

Warlley Alves

Head 70.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 13.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Krause L/AAccLightweight med Alves L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 720 / 1459 49.3% 37.9% 379 / 861 44.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 37 / 57 64.9% 67.3% 71 / 97 73.2% 67.8%
On the ground 25 / 41 61.0% 69.1% 35 / 51 68.6% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 581 / 1287 45.1% 35.0% 268 / 715 37.5% 37.2%
To the body 107 / 151 70.9% 69.1% 111 / 157 70.7% 70.7%
To the legs 94 / 119 79.0% 81.9% 106 / 137 77.4% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Krause L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Alves L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 529 / 1534 34.5% 38.9% 466 / 1046 44.6% 39.0%
In the clinch 63 / 92 68.5% 68.6% 128 / 168 76.2% 68.9%
On the ground 65 / 95 68.4% 68.0% 35 / 62 56.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 388 / 1312 29.6% 35.1% 423 / 995 42.5% 35.6%
To the body 152 / 265 57.4% 68.1% 150 / 210 71.4% 69.6%
To the legs 117 / 144 81.2% 81.5% 56 / 71 78.9% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

815.4% acc · 0.79/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1350.0% acc · 1.22/15 · norm 1.27
2464.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1763.0% def · norm 63.9%
32:1821.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
35:0822.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
18:371:50 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
37:263:31 per 15 · norm 3:15
100.99/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
90.85/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alves has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.