BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

James Krause vs.
Jamie Varner

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-4-0 James Krause · UFC
3-6-0 Jamie Varner · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-4-0
UFC record
3-6-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40.2
AgeΔ 1.6 yrs
41.8
6'2"
HeightΔ 6"
5'8"
73"
ReachΔ 2"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
69.6
Layoff (months)Δ 70.2 mo
139.8
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jamie Varner hunts takedowns — 4.56 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Jamie Varner is a submission threat — 1.19 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
James Krause is a submission threat — 0.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

James Krause

Full career not yet synced for James Krause — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Jamie Varner

Full career not yet synced for Jamie Varner — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7825.15/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2433.21/min · norm 3.42
6574.33/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2052.71/min · norm 3.37
50.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
38.0%norm 43.5%
61.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
58.3%norm 56.3%
30.30/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.40/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

James Krause

Distance 93.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 8.0%)

Jamie Varner

Distance 70.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 20.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

James Krause

Head 82.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.9%)

Jamie Varner

Head 86.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.3% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Krause L/AAccLightweight med Varner L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 720 / 1459 49.3% 37.9% 159 / 449 35.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 37 / 57 64.9% 67.3% 32 / 63 50.8% 67.3%
On the ground 25 / 41 61.0% 69.1% 52 / 128 40.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 581 / 1287 45.1% 35.0% 183 / 555 33.0% 35.0%
To the body 107 / 151 70.9% 69.1% 49 / 70 70.0% 69.1%
To the legs 94 / 119 79.0% 81.9% 11 / 15 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Krause L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Varner L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 529 / 1534 34.5% 38.9% 151 / 401 37.7% 38.9%
In the clinch 63 / 92 68.5% 68.6% 20 / 42 47.6% 68.6%
On the ground 65 / 95 68.4% 68.0% 34 / 49 69.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 388 / 1312 29.6% 35.1% 142 / 413 34.4% 35.1%
To the body 152 / 265 57.4% 68.1% 25 / 37 67.6% 68.1%
To the legs 117 / 144 81.2% 81.5% 38 / 42 90.5% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

815.4% acc · 0.79/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2360.5% acc · 4.56/15 · norm 1.38
2464.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1066.7% def · norm 64.0%
32:1821.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
20:1326.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
18:371:50 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
13:042:35 per 15 · norm 2:46
100.99/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
61.19/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Krause has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.