BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jalin Turner vs.
Josh Culibao

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-6-0 Jalin Turner · UFC
3-4-1 Josh Culibao · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-6-0
UFC record
3-4-1
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
31.2
AgeΔ 1 yrs
32.2
6'3"
HeightΔ 5"
5'10"
77"
ReachΔ 4"
73"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
8
Layoff (months)Δ 15.6 mo
23.6
WLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jalin Turner carries real power — 1.43 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Jalin Turner is a submission threat — 1.11 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Josh Culibao rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jalin Turner

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 116
Tier 3 — regional circuit 43

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.09 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Josh Culibao

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 34
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.9 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5115.41/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3583.41/min · norm 3.54
4114.35/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
3193.04/min · norm 3.47
48.3%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
44.8%norm 45.0%
40.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.9%norm 54.85%
91.43/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
40.57/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jalin Turner

Distance 81.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.9% (norm 8.0%)

Josh Culibao

Distance 92.6% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jalin Turner

Head 78.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.2% (norm 7.9%)

Josh Culibao

Head 76.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.2% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Turner L/AAccLightweight med Culibao L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 373 / 856 43.6% 37.9% 318 / 741 42.9% 40.9%
In the clinch 52 / 75 69.3% 67.3% 20 / 30 66.7% 70.8%
On the ground 86 / 126 68.3% 69.1% 20 / 29 69.0% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 344 / 828 41.5% 35.0% 218 / 609 35.8% 37.2%
To the body 135 / 185 73.0% 69.1% 71 / 106 67.0% 68.2%
To the legs 32 / 44 72.7% 81.9% 69 / 85 81.2% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Turner L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Culibao L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 315 / 548 57.5% 38.9% 216 / 642 33.6% 39.2%
In the clinch 36 / 58 62.1% 68.6% 35 / 55 63.6% 70.3%
On the ground 60 / 88 68.2% 68.0% 68 / 99 68.7% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 235 / 473 49.7% 35.1% 184 / 594 31.0% 35.9%
To the body 69 / 106 65.1% 68.1% 76 / 119 63.9% 67.9%
To the legs 107 / 115 93.0% 81.5% 59 / 83 71.1% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

450.0% acc · 0.63/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.19
3675.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2165.6% def · norm 61.5%
13:3214.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
6:566.6% of cage time · norm 16.7%
23:173:41 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
33:034:43 per 15 · norm 3:12
71.11/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.29/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Turner has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.