BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jake Rosholt vs.
Dan Miller

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Jake Rosholt · UFC
6-7-0 Dan Miller · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
6-7-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
44
AgeΔ 1 yrs
45
6'1"
HeightΔ 0"
6'1"
Reach
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
200.5
Layoff (months)Δ 67.7 mo
132.8
LWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jake Rosholt hunts takedowns — 6.35 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Jake Rosholt is a submission threat — 1.81 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Dan Miller is a submission threat — 1.63 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jake Rosholt

Full career not yet synced for Jake Rosholt — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Dan Miller

Full career not yet synced for Dan Miller — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

281.69/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
2982.02/min · norm 3.25
191.15/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
4583.11/min · norm 3.20
48.3%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
36.0%norm 47.4%
66.7%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
49.0%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.20/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jake Rosholt

Distance 55.2% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 13.8% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 31.0% (norm 10.3%)

Dan Miller

Distance 83.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 9.7% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jake Rosholt

Head 82.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 5.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.1% (norm 8.4%)

Dan Miller

Head 80.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rosholt L/AAccMiddleweight med Miller L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 12 / 32 37.5% 40.5% 207 / 691 30.0% 40.5%
In the clinch 5 / 8 too few to rate 70.3% 43 / 56 76.8% 70.3%
On the ground 11 / 18 too few to rate 69.1% 48 / 80 60.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 20 / 48 41.7% 38.9% 193 / 662 29.2% 38.9%
To the body 2 / 3 too few to rate 71.7% 63 / 114 55.3% 71.7%
To the legs 6 / 7 too few to rate 83.3% 42 / 51 82.4% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rosholt L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Miller L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 12 / 49 24.5% 39.5% 258 / 625 41.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 3 / 3 too few to rate 70.9% 75 / 96 78.1% 70.9%
On the ground 4 / 5 too few to rate 69.0% 125 / 177 70.6% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 9 / 41 22.0% 37.9% 340 / 768 44.3% 37.9%
To the body 2 / 3 too few to rate 71.3% 46 / 56 82.1% 71.3%
To the legs 8 / 13 too few to rate 82.1% 72 / 74 97.3% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

770.0% acc · 6.35/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1551.7% acc · 1.53/15 · norm 1.42
00.0% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
1647.1% def · norm 63.1%
4:5529.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
29:2820.0% of cage time · norm 19.75%
4:494:22 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
58:025:54 per 15 · norm 3:00
21.81/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
161.63/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Miller has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.