BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jake O'Brien vs.
Heath Herring

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-3-0 Jake O'Brien · UFC
2-3-0 Heath Herring · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-3-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
41.9
AgeΔ 6.5 yrs
48.4
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'4"
76"
ReachΔ 2"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
204.8
Layoff (months)Δ 11.1 mo
215.9
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jake O'Brien hunts takedowns — 6.44 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Heath Herring carries real power — 1.00 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Jake O'Brien owns the mat — in control 50% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jake O'Brien

Full career not yet synced for Jake O'Brien — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Heath Herring

Full career not yet synced for Heath Herring — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

921.32/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
1722.29/min · norm 3.36
1351.93/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
1772.36/min · norm 3.19
31.8%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
41.7%norm 47.8%
69.2%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
45.5%norm 52.5%
10.21/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
51.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jake O'Brien

Distance 59.9% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 36.0% (norm 9.3%)

Heath Herring

Distance 56.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 10.2% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 33.5% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jake O'Brien

Head 99.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 1.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.6%)

Heath Herring

Head 76.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 19.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone O'Brien L/AAccHeavyweight med Herring L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 32 / 173 18.5% 40.1% 55 / 232 23.7% 40.1%
In the clinch 6 / 12 too few to rate 70.6% 19 / 42 45.2% 70.6%
On the ground 54 / 104 51.9% 70.2% 98 / 138 71.0% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 89 / 286 31.1% 38.9% 93 / 316 29.4% 38.9%
To the body 3 / 3 too few to rate 76.8% 63 / 79 79.7% 76.8%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 87.8% 16 / 17 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs O'Brien L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Herring L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 92 / 377 24.4% 40.7% 66 / 181 36.5% 40.7%
In the clinch 6 / 15 too few to rate 70.6% 31 / 34 91.2% 70.6%
On the ground 37 / 46 80.4% 72.0% 80 / 110 72.7% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 85 / 364 23.4% 38.8% 103 / 248 41.5% 38.8%
To the body 15 / 25 60.0% 75.1% 58 / 60 96.7% 75.1%
To the legs 35 / 49 71.4% 84.4% 16 / 17 too few to rate 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3056.6% acc · 6.44/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
583.3% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 0.95
125.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
519.2% def · norm 64.3%
35:0250.1% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
19:2025.8% of cage time · norm 17.2%
5:391:12 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
34:426:56 per 15 · norm 2:28
10.21/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
10.20/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — O'Brien has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.