Jake Matthews vs.
Vagner Rocha
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Jake Matthews
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 16 | 8 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 7 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.36 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 31 documented bouts
In the UFC: 8-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500
Vagner Rocha
Full career not yet synced for Vagner Rocha — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Jake Matthews
Distance 82.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.1% (norm 8.1%)
Vagner Rocha
Distance 91.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 0.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Jake Matthews
Head 82.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)
Vagner Rocha
Head 77.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.0% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Matthews L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Rocha L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 664 / 1706 | 38.9% | 38.6% | 74 / 183 | 40.4% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 67 / 100 | 67.0% | 67.8% | 1 / 1 | too few to rate | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 194 / 273 | 71.1% | 67.2% | 10 / 16 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 665 / 1718 | 38.7% | 37.2% | 56 / 154 | 36.4% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 161 / 239 | 67.4% | 70.7% | 9 / 18 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 99 / 122 | 81.1% | 82.9% | 20 / 28 | 71.4% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Matthews L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Rocha L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 517 / 1515 | 34.1% | 39.0% | 127 / 257 | 49.4% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 98 / 140 | 70.0% | 68.9% | 5 / 7 | too few to rate | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 95 / 147 | 64.6% | 68.0% | 13 / 15 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 434 / 1402 | 31.0% | 35.6% | 65 / 181 | 35.9% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 124 / 199 | 62.3% | 69.6% | 19 / 28 | 67.9% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 152 / 201 | 75.6% | 82.1% | 61 / 70 | 87.1% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Matthews has more cage time on record.