BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jake Matthews vs.
Akbarh Arreola

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

16-8-0 Jake Matthews · UFC
1-3-0 Akbarh Arreola · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

16-8-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
32
AgeΔ 11.6 yrs
43.6
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
73"
ReachΔ 2"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
2.2
Layoff (months)Δ 126.5 mo
128.7
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Akbarh Arreola carries real power — 0.72 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Jake Matthews is a submission threat — 0.71 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Akbarh Arreola's takedown defense leaks — 33% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jake Matthews

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 168
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.36 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Akbarh Arreola

Full career not yet synced for Akbarh Arreola — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9253.36/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
972.32/min · norm 3.42
7102.58/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1684.01/min · norm 3.37
44.5%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
45.3%norm 43.5%
60.6%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
56.9%norm 56.3%
60.33/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.72/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jake Matthews

Distance 82.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.1% (norm 8.1%)

Akbarh Arreola

Distance 81.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 15.4% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jake Matthews

Head 82.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)

Akbarh Arreola

Head 70.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Matthews L/AAccWelterweight med Arreola L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 664 / 1706 38.9% 38.6% 70 / 174 40.2% 37.9%
In the clinch 67 / 100 67.0% 67.8% 4 / 7 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 194 / 273 71.1% 67.2% 23 / 33 69.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 665 / 1718 38.7% 37.2% 51 / 150 34.0% 35.0%
To the body 161 / 239 67.4% 70.7% 26 / 37 70.3% 69.1%
To the legs 99 / 122 81.1% 82.9% 20 / 27 74.1% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Matthews L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Arreola L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 517 / 1515 34.1% 39.0% 69 / 229 30.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 98 / 140 70.0% 68.9% 31 / 45 68.9% 68.6%
On the ground 95 / 147 64.6% 68.0% 68 / 116 58.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 434 / 1402 31.0% 35.6% 104 / 299 34.8% 35.1%
To the body 124 / 199 62.3% 69.6% 18 / 34 52.9% 68.1%
To the legs 152 / 201 75.6% 82.1% 46 / 57 80.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2541.7% acc · 1.36/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
3100.0% acc · 1.07/15 · norm 1.38
2866.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
233.3% def · norm 64.0%
72:5326.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
2:546.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
40:352:12 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
18:236:35 per 15 · norm 2:46
130.71/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.36/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Matthews has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.