Jake Ellenberger vs.
Kelvin Gastelum
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Jake Ellenberger
Full career not yet synced for Jake Ellenberger — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500
Kelvin Gastelum
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 14 | 11 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 6 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 32 documented bouts
In the UFC: 12-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Jake Ellenberger
Distance 74.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.2% (norm 8.1%)
Kelvin Gastelum
Distance 90.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.3% (norm 10.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Jake Ellenberger
Head 86.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 8.4%)
Kelvin Gastelum
Head 80.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Ellenberger L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Gastelum L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 259 / 791 | 32.7% | 38.6% | 1082 / 2695 | 40.1% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 83 / 129 | 64.3% | 67.8% | 109 / 171 | 63.7% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 75 / 140 | 53.6% | 67.2% | 78 / 129 | 60.5% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 307 / 912 | 33.7% | 37.2% | 824 / 2419 | 34.1% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 72 / 101 | 71.3% | 70.7% | 233 / 326 | 71.5% | 71.7% |
| To the legs | 38 / 47 | 80.9% | 82.9% | 212 / 250 | 84.8% | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Ellenberger L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Gastelum L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 338 / 1002 | 33.7% | 39.0% | 1052 / 2613 | 40.3% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 73 / 112 | 65.2% | 68.9% | 102 / 153 | 66.7% | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 67 / 102 | 65.7% | 68.0% | 68 / 97 | 70.1% | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 314 / 986 | 31.8% | 35.6% | 768 / 2234 | 34.4% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 88 / 137 | 64.2% | 69.6% | 274 / 406 | 67.5% | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 76 / 93 | 81.7% | 82.1% | 180 / 223 | 80.7% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gastelum has more cage time on record.