BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jake Ellenberger vs.
Jake Shields

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-11-0 Jake Ellenberger · UFC
4-3-0 (1 NC) Jake Shields · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-11-0
UFC record
4-3-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
41.4
AgeΔ 6.2 yrs
47.6
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
95.4
Layoff (months)Δ 53.3 mo
148.7
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWNCW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jake Ellenberger carries real power — 0.98 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Jake Ellenberger hunts takedowns — 2.04 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Jake Shields owns the mat — in control 29% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jake Ellenberger

Full career not yet synced for Jake Ellenberger — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Jake Shields

Full career not yet synced for Jake Shields — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4172.47/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3492.77/min · norm 3.17
4782.83/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2942.34/min · norm 3.06
39.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
31.6%norm 44.9%
60.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
57.2%norm 55.25%
110.98/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jake Ellenberger

Distance 74.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.2% (norm 8.1%)

Jake Shields

Distance 85.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jake Ellenberger

Head 86.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 8.4%)

Jake Shields

Head 68.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 18.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 13.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ellenberger L/AAccWelterweight med Shields L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 259 / 791 32.7% 38.6% 248 / 948 26.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 83 / 129 64.3% 67.8% 73 / 122 59.8% 67.8%
On the ground 75 / 140 53.6% 67.2% 28 / 33 84.8% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 307 / 912 33.7% 37.2% 134 / 758 17.7% 37.2%
To the body 72 / 101 71.3% 70.7% 130 / 199 65.3% 70.7%
To the legs 38 / 47 80.9% 82.9% 85 / 146 58.2% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ellenberger L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Shields L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 338 / 1002 33.7% 39.0% 166 / 520 31.9% 39.0%
In the clinch 73 / 112 65.2% 68.9% 99 / 124 79.8% 68.9%
On the ground 67 / 102 65.7% 68.0% 29 / 43 67.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 314 / 986 31.8% 35.6% 162 / 513 31.6% 35.6%
To the body 88 / 137 64.2% 69.6% 105 / 146 71.9% 69.6%
To the legs 76 / 93 81.7% 82.1% 27 / 28 96.4% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2347.9% acc · 2.04/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1012.3% acc · 1.19/15 · norm 1.27
2586.2% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
735.0% def · norm 63.9%
34:4320.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
36:3229.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
19:501:45 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
24:022:51 per 15 · norm 3:15
40.36/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.12/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ellenberger has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.