BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jake Ellenberger vs.
Bryan Barberena

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-11-0 Jake Ellenberger · UFC
9-10-0 Bryan Barberena · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-11-0
UFC record
9-10-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
41.4
AgeΔ 4.1 yrs
37.3
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
95.4
Layoff (months)Δ 66.7 mo
28.7
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jake Ellenberger carries real power — 0.98 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Bryan Barberena rarely shoots — 0.13 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Bryan Barberena outworks the Welterweight division — 5.35 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jake Ellenberger

Full career not yet synced for Jake Ellenberger — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Bryan Barberena

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 910
Tier 3 — regional circuit 92

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.74 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 30 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4172.47/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
11915.35/min · norm 3.17
4782.83/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
10224.59/min · norm 3.06
39.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
48.0%norm 44.9%
60.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
44.2%norm 55.25%
110.98/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
60.40/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jake Ellenberger

Distance 74.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.2% (norm 8.1%)

Bryan Barberena

Distance 83.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.9% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jake Ellenberger

Head 86.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 8.4%)

Bryan Barberena

Head 80.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ellenberger L/AAccWelterweight med Barberena L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 259 / 791 32.7% 38.6% 897 / 2065 43.4% 38.6%
In the clinch 83 / 129 64.3% 67.8% 202 / 293 68.9% 67.8%
On the ground 75 / 140 53.6% 67.2% 92 / 121 76.0% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 307 / 912 33.7% 37.2% 833 / 1997 41.7% 37.2%
To the body 72 / 101 71.3% 70.7% 158 / 216 73.1% 70.7%
To the legs 38 / 47 80.9% 82.9% 200 / 266 75.2% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ellenberger L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Barberena L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 338 / 1002 33.7% 39.0% 804 / 1546 52.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 73 / 112 65.2% 68.9% 158 / 212 74.5% 68.9%
On the ground 67 / 102 65.7% 68.0% 60 / 73 82.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 314 / 986 31.8% 35.6% 656 / 1392 47.1% 35.6%
To the body 88 / 137 64.2% 69.6% 269 / 333 80.8% 69.6%
To the legs 76 / 93 81.7% 82.1% 97 / 106 91.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2347.9% acc · 2.04/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
222.2% acc · 0.13/15 · norm 1.27
2586.2% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
6250.0% def · norm 63.9%
34:4320.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
17:197.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
19:501:45 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
66:314:28 per 15 · norm 3:15
40.36/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.27/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ellenberger has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.