BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jai Herbert vs.
Renato Moicano

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-5-1 Jai Herbert · UFC
13-7-0 Renato Moicano · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-5-1
UFC record
13-7-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
38.2
AgeΔ 1 yrs
37.2
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
77"
ReachΔ 5"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.6
Layoff (months)Δ 0.5 mo
4.1
WLWLD
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jai Herbert carries real power — 0.84 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Jai Herbert rarely shoots — 0.42 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jai Herbert

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 45
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 50
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Renato Moicano

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 137
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.29 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3413.19/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
7714.10/min · norm 3.42
3583.34/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
6683.55/min · norm 3.37
41.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
49.2%norm 43.5%
53.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.7%norm 56.3%
60.84/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.16/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jai Herbert

Distance 88.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.3% (norm 8.0%)

Renato Moicano

Distance 88.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jai Herbert

Head 75.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.8% (norm 7.9%)

Renato Moicano

Head 82.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Herbert L/AAccLightweight med Moicano L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 268 / 728 36.8% 37.9% 636 / 1379 46.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 48 / 57 84.2% 67.3% 25 / 33 75.8% 67.3%
On the ground 25 / 35 71.4% 69.1% 110 / 155 71.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 182 / 616 29.5% 35.0% 563 / 1296 43.4% 35.0%
To the body 100 / 132 75.8% 69.1% 75 / 114 65.8% 69.1%
To the legs 59 / 72 81.9% 81.9% 133 / 157 84.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Herbert L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Moicano L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 264 / 640 41.2% 38.9% 556 / 1502 37.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 57 / 72 79.2% 68.6% 27 / 36 75.0% 68.6%
On the ground 37 / 49 75.5% 68.0% 85 / 119 71.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 197 / 529 37.2% 35.1% 419 / 1331 31.5% 35.1%
To the body 70 / 104 67.3% 68.1% 123 / 176 69.9% 68.1%
To the legs 91 / 128 71.1% 81.5% 126 / 150 84.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

321.4% acc · 0.42/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2140.4% acc · 1.68/15 · norm 1.38
2266.7% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2764.3% def · norm 64.0%
17:4416.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
41:1121.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
26:263:42 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
24:421:58 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
70.56/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Moicano has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.