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Jai Herbert vs. Kyle Nelson

UFC 5-5-1 vs. 5-7-1

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-5-1
UFC record
5-7-1
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
38
AgeΔ 3 yrs
35
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
77"
ReachΔ 6"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
0.3
Layoff (months)Δ 0.2 mo
0.1
WWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Jai Herbert carries real power — 0.74 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Jai Herbert rarely shoots — 0.37 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Kyle Nelson absorbs 4.64 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.50 Featherweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Jai Herbert

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 45
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 50
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Kyle Nelson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.79 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3953.24/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
4183.63/min · norm 3.52
4013.29/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
5354.64/min · norm 3.50
40.4%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
46.0%norm 44.7%
52.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
53.8%norm 54.8%
60.74/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.13/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jai Herbert

Distance 88.6% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 6.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.0%)

Kyle Nelson

Distance 88.3% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 9.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jai Herbert

Head 74.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.7% (norm 8.0%)

Kyle Nelson

Head 74.0% (norm 77.5%) · Body 16.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Herbert L/AAccLightweight med Nelson L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 311 / 866 35.9% 38.3% 351 / 803 43.7% 40.5%
In the clinch 56 / 65 86.2% 67.5% 54 / 86 62.8% 70.5%
On the ground 28 / 46 60.9% 68.8% 13 / 20 too few to rate 69.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 207 / 732 28.3% 35.1% 235 / 673 34.9% 37.1%
To the body 119 / 160 74.4% 69.1% 109 / 151 72.2% 68.0%
To the legs 69 / 85 81.2% 81.8% 74 / 85 87.1% 80.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Featherweight: 127 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Herbert L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Nelson L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 300 / 717 41.8% 38.8% 387 / 930 41.6% 39.3%
In the clinch 60 / 75 80.0% 68.6% 43 / 60 71.7% 70.3%
On the ground 41 / 55 74.5% 68.0% 105 / 168 62.5% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 223 / 590 37.8% 35.2% 308 / 881 35.0% 35.9%
To the body 76 / 114 66.7% 68.2% 126 / 158 79.7% 68.0%
To the legs 102 / 143 71.3% 81.5% 101 / 119 84.9% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
320.0% acc · 0.37/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
923.1% acc · 1.17/15 · norm 1.17
2464.9% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
1266.7% def · norm 61.5%
20:3916.9% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
23:3120.4% of cage time · norm 16.5%
29:073:34 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
26:213:25 per 15 · norm 3:11
00.00/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
40.52/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nelson has more cage time on record.