BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jacob Volkmann vs.
Paulo Thiago

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-4-0 Jacob Volkmann · UFC
5-8-0 Paulo Thiago · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-4-0
UFC record
5-8-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
45.9
AgeΔ 0.4 yrs
45.5
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
71"
ReachΔ 3"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
162.1
Layoff (months)Δ 19.4 mo
142.7
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jacob Volkmann is a submission threat — 1.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Paulo Thiago is a submission threat — 1.21 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Jacob Volkmann owns the mat — in control 50% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jacob Volkmann

Full career not yet synced for Jacob Volkmann — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Paulo Thiago

Full career not yet synced for Paulo Thiago — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1341.19/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2541.71/min · norm 3.17
2011.78/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2951.99/min · norm 3.06
34.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
39.1%norm 44.9%
52.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
63.5%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
40.40/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jacob Volkmann

Distance 61.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 33.2% (norm 8.0%)

Paulo Thiago

Distance 76.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 14.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jacob Volkmann

Head 81.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.8% (norm 7.9%)

Paulo Thiago

Head 81.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Volkmann L/AAccLightweight med Thiago L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 44 / 239 18.4% 37.9% 151 / 495 30.5% 38.6%
In the clinch 11 / 21 too few to rate 67.3% 73 / 95 76.8% 67.8%
On the ground 79 / 129 61.2% 69.1% 30 / 59 50.8% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 98 / 316 31.0% 35.0% 156 / 530 29.4% 37.2%
To the body 20 / 31 64.5% 69.1% 65 / 85 76.5% 70.7%
To the legs 16 / 42 38.1% 81.9% 33 / 34 97.1% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Volkmann L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Thiago L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 76 / 238 31.9% 38.9% 168 / 611 27.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 38 / 56 67.9% 68.6% 29 / 52 55.8% 68.9%
On the ground 87 / 132 65.9% 68.0% 98 / 146 67.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 123 / 335 36.7% 35.1% 199 / 642 31.0% 35.6%
To the body 45 / 54 83.3% 68.1% 48 / 86 55.8% 69.6%
To the legs 33 / 37 89.2% 81.5% 48 / 81 59.3% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2449.0% acc · 3.19/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1431.8% acc · 1.42/15 · norm 1.27
952.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
3063.8% def · norm 63.9%
56:0749.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
22:3815.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
26:283:30 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
62:026:16 per 15 · norm 3:15
151.99/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
121.21/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Thiago has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.