BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jack Marshman vs.
Thiago Santos

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-5-0 Jack Marshman · UFC
14-10-0 Thiago Santos · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-5-0
UFC record
14-10-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
36.6
AgeΔ 6 yrs
42.6
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
73"
ReachΔ 3"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
69.2
Layoff (months)Δ 21.2 mo
48
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Thiago Santos carries real power — 0.88 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Jack Marshman rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Jack Marshman carries real power — 0.55 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jack Marshman

Full career not yet synced for Jack Marshman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Thiago Santos

Full career not yet synced for Thiago Santos — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2242.74/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
8883.72/min · norm 3.25
3424.19/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
6142.57/min · norm 3.20
25.6%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
48.2%norm 47.4%
56.5%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
53.9%norm 53.8%
30.55/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
140.88/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jack Marshman

Distance 96.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 1.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.9% (norm 10.3%)

Thiago Santos

Distance 69.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 20.5% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jack Marshman

Head 80.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 8.4%)

Thiago Santos

Head 65.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 17.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Marshman L/AAccMiddleweight med Santos L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 209 / 848 24.6% 40.5% 512 / 1285 39.8% 40.5%
In the clinch 5 / 10 too few to rate 70.3% 150 / 181 82.9% 70.3%
On the ground 10 / 17 too few to rate 69.1% 226 / 378 59.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 144 / 708 20.3% 38.9% 455 / 1216 37.4% 38.9%
To the body 50 / 117 42.7% 71.7% 204 / 309 66.0% 71.7%
To the legs 30 / 50 60.0% 83.3% 229 / 319 71.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Marshman L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Santos L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 278 / 687 40.5% 39.5% 417 / 1085 38.4% 39.5%
In the clinch 24 / 32 75.0% 70.9% 87 / 110 79.1% 70.9%
On the ground 40 / 68 58.8% 69.0% 110 / 138 79.7% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 244 / 646 37.8% 37.9% 330 / 914 36.1% 37.9%
To the body 61 / 100 61.0% 71.3% 141 / 215 65.6% 71.3%
To the legs 37 / 41 90.2% 82.1% 143 / 204 70.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1433.3% acc · 0.88/15 · norm 1.42
220.0% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
3865.5% def · norm 63.1%
0:160.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
31:3813.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
17:173:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
39:232:28 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
10.06/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Santos has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.