BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jack Marshman vs.
Karl Roberson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-5-0 Jack Marshman · UFC
4-6-0 Karl Roberson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-5-0
UFC record
4-6-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
36.6
AgeΔ 0.8 yrs
35.8
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
73"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
69.2
Layoff (months)Δ 20.3 mo
48.9
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jack Marshman rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Jack Marshman carries real power — 0.55 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Karl Roberson rarely shoots — 0.73 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jack Marshman

Full career not yet synced for Jack Marshman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Karl Roberson

Full career not yet synced for Karl Roberson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2242.74/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
2082.51/min · norm 3.25
3424.19/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
2002.42/min · norm 3.20
25.6%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
51.5%norm 47.4%
56.5%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
57.7%norm 53.8%
30.55/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.18/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jack Marshman

Distance 96.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 1.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.9% (norm 10.3%)

Karl Roberson

Distance 75.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 16.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jack Marshman

Head 80.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 8.4%)

Karl Roberson

Head 74.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Marshman L/AAccMiddleweight med Roberson L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 209 / 848 24.6% 40.5% 122 / 303 40.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 5 / 10 too few to rate 70.3% 33 / 35 94.3% 70.3%
On the ground 10 / 17 too few to rate 69.1% 53 / 66 80.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 144 / 708 20.3% 38.9% 127 / 299 42.5% 38.9%
To the body 50 / 117 42.7% 71.7% 37 / 54 68.5% 71.7%
To the legs 30 / 50 60.0% 83.3% 44 / 51 86.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Marshman L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Roberson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 278 / 687 40.5% 39.5% 100 / 344 29.1% 39.5%
In the clinch 24 / 32 75.0% 70.9% 14 / 18 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 40 / 68 58.8% 69.0% 86 / 111 77.5% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 244 / 646 37.8% 37.9% 147 / 384 38.3% 37.9%
To the body 61 / 100 61.0% 71.3% 32 / 53 60.4% 71.3%
To the legs 37 / 41 90.2% 82.1% 21 / 36 58.3% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
440.0% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 1.42
220.0% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
1140.7% def · norm 63.1%
0:160.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
14:2617.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
17:173:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
30:005:26 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
30.54/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Roberson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.