BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ivan Menjivar vs.
Matt Serra

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-5-0 Ivan Menjivar · UFC
7-7-0 Matt Serra · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-5-0
UFC record
7-7-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44.2
AgeΔ 8 yrs
52.2
5'6"
HeightΔ 0"
5'6"
64"
ReachΔ 4"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
149.2
Layoff (months)Δ 41.1 mo
190.3
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ivan Menjivar is a submission threat — 1.03 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Matt Serra is a submission threat — 0.89 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Matt Serra owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ivan Menjivar

Full career not yet synced for Ivan Menjivar — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Matt Serra

Full career not yet synced for Matt Serra — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2072.36/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
3331.98/min · norm 3.17
2102.40/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
4442.64/min · norm 3.06
36.4%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
39.8%norm 44.9%
65.5%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
46.5%norm 55.25%
20.34/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
50.45/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ivan Menjivar

Distance 83.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 8.3% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 8.5% (norm 6.5%)

Matt Serra

Distance 73.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ivan Menjivar

Head 65.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 19.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 15.5% (norm 8.4%)

Matt Serra

Head 75.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Menjivar L/AAccBantamweight med Serra L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 140 / 473 29.6% 39.0% 198 / 611 32.4% 38.6%
In the clinch 32 / 47 68.1% 68.7% 59 / 84 70.2% 67.8%
On the ground 35 / 48 72.9% 70.2% 76 / 142 53.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 92 / 370 24.9% 34.9% 171 / 632 27.1% 37.2%
To the body 63 / 110 57.3% 66.8% 112 / 147 76.2% 70.7%
To the legs 52 / 88 59.1% 79.4% 50 / 58 86.2% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Menjivar L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Serra L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 132 / 473 27.9% 39.3% 255 / 562 45.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 35 / 48 72.9% 70.4% 91 / 111 82.0% 68.9%
On the ground 43 / 88 48.9% 72.4% 98 / 157 62.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 107 / 453 23.6% 34.9% 286 / 658 43.5% 35.6%
To the body 56 / 96 58.3% 66.0% 125 / 134 93.3% 69.6%
To the legs 47 / 60 78.3% 79.1% 33 / 38 86.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

228.6% acc · 0.34/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
2320.9% acc · 2.05/15 · norm 1.27
830.8% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1238.7% def · norm 63.9%
4:134.8% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
57:3434.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
36:096:11 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
35:183:08 per 15 · norm 3:15
61.03/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
100.89/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Serra has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.