BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ismail Naurdiev vs.
Ryan Loder

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-3-0 Ismail Naurdiev · UFC
1-2-0 Ryan Loder · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-3-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
30
AgeΔ 5.2 yrs
35.2
5'10"
HeightΔ 4"
6'2"
74"
ReachΔ 2"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
8.4
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
8.4
WLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ryan Loder is a submission threat — 1.37 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Ryan Loder owns the mat — in control 45% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Ismail Naurdiev is hard to hit — absorbs 1.75 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.06 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ismail Naurdiev

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 205

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.83 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Ryan Loder

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 258
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.52 · 25 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 40 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3353.66/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
565.10/min · norm 3.25
1601.75/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
272.46/min · norm 3.20
52.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
69.1%norm 47.4%
64.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
50.0%norm 53.8%
10.16/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ismail Naurdiev

Distance 83.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.6% (norm 8.1%)

Ryan Loder

Distance 28.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 61.7% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ismail Naurdiev

Head 68.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 8.4%)

Ryan Loder

Head 86.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Naurdiev L/AAccWelterweight med Loder L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 266 / 528 50.4% 38.6% 8 / 23 too few to rate 40.5%
In the clinch 36 / 58 62.1% 67.8% 7 / 8 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 33 / 48 68.8% 67.2% 41 / 50 82.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 183 / 433 42.3% 37.2% 48 / 70 68.6% 38.9%
To the body 88 / 121 72.7% 70.7% 8 / 11 too few to rate 71.7%
To the legs 64 / 80 80.0% 82.9% 0 / 0 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Naurdiev L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Loder L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 127 / 401 31.7% 39.0% 21 / 39 53.8% 39.5%
In the clinch 13 / 26 50.0% 68.9% 5 / 11 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 20 / 29 69.0% 68.0% 1 / 4 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 122 / 395 30.9% 35.6% 24 / 49 49.0% 37.9%
To the body 17 / 31 54.8% 69.6% 3 / 5 too few to rate 71.3%
To the legs 21 / 30 70.0% 82.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

940.9% acc · 1.48/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
114.3% acc · 1.37/15 · norm 1.42
3073.2% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2100.0% def · norm 63.1%
17:3119.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
4:5845.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
31:515:13 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
2:443:43 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.16/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
11.37/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Naurdiev has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.