Islam Makhachev vs.
Kajan Johnson
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Islam Makhachev
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 17 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 11 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 2.04 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 29 documented bouts
In the UFC: 15-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.8 wins over .500
Kajan Johnson
Full career not yet synced for Kajan Johnson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Islam Makhachev
Distance 68.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 12.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 19.0% (norm 8.0%)
Kajan Johnson
Distance 82.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Islam Makhachev
Head 81.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 3.6% (norm 7.9%)
Kajan Johnson
Head 70.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.9% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Makhachev L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Johnson L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 278 / 567 | 49.0% | 37.9% | 155 / 416 | 37.3% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 89 / 105 | 84.8% | 67.3% | 16 / 22 | too few to rate | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 118 / 158 | 74.7% | 69.1% | 45 / 65 | 69.2% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 344 / 672 | 51.2% | 35.0% | 111 / 352 | 31.5% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 114 / 128 | 89.1% | 69.1% | 47 / 76 | 61.8% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 27 / 30 | 90.0% | 81.9% | 58 / 75 | 77.3% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Makhachev L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Johnson L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 206 / 650 | 31.7% | 38.9% | 99 / 321 | 30.8% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 62 / 76 | 81.6% | 68.6% | 9 / 19 | too few to rate | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 19 / 29 | 65.5% | 68.0% | 31 / 50 | 62.0% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 143 / 526 | 27.2% | 35.1% | 101 / 327 | 30.9% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 94 / 161 | 58.4% | 68.1% | 11 / 28 | 39.3% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 50 / 68 | 73.5% | 81.5% | 27 / 35 | 77.1% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Makhachev has more cage time on record.