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Islam Makhachev vs. Carlos Prates

UFC 18-1-0 vs. 7-1-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
18-1-0
UFC record
7-1-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
34
AgeΔ 1 yrs
33
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
6'1"
70"
ReachΔ 8"
78"
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
2.2
Layoff (months)Δ 3.4 mo
5.6
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Carlos Prates carries real power — 2.32 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Islam Makhachev owns the mat — in control 51% of cage time, vs a 19% Lightweight norm.
Islam Makhachev hunts takedowns — 3.22 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Islam Makhachev

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 171
Tier 3 — regional circuit 110

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.04 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 16-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.0 wins over .500

Carlos Prates

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 102
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 125

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.22 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5072.27/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
3394.38/min · norm 3.17
3161.42/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3374.35/min · norm 3.08
58.0%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
54.1%norm 44.75%
61.5%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
47.7%norm 55.25%
50.34/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
122.32/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Islam Makhachev

Distance 69.0% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 12.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 8.0%)

Carlos Prates

Distance 93.1% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 1.0% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 5.9% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Islam Makhachev

Head 80.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 8.0%)

Carlos Prates

Head 72.1% (norm 78.3%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.2% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Makhachev L/AAccLightweight med Prates L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 293 / 603 48.6% 38.3% 307 / 584 52.6% 38.5%
In the clinch 95 / 112 84.8% 67.5% 3 / 6 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 119 / 159 74.8% 68.8% 29 / 37 78.4% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 353 / 703 50.2% 35.1% 203 / 452 44.9% 36.4%
To the body 117 / 131 89.3% 69.1% 61 / 86 70.9% 70.7%
To the legs 37 / 40 92.5% 81.8% 75 / 89 84.3% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Makhachev L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Prates L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 228 / 707 32.2% 38.8% 325 / 624 52.1% 39.1%
In the clinch 69 / 84 82.1% 68.6% 8 / 15 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 19 / 29 65.5% 68.0% 4 / 5 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 150 / 566 26.5% 35.2% 182 / 434 41.9% 35.6%
To the body 110 / 178 61.8% 68.2% 40 / 67 59.7% 69.6%
To the legs 56 / 76 73.7% 81.5% 115 / 143 80.4% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
4854.5% acc · 3.22/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
1100.0% acc · 0.19/15 · norm 1.31
2191.3% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
3179.5% def · norm 63.9%
113:5851.0% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
3:474.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
15:521:03 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
11:222:12 per 15 · norm 3:15
130.87/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Makhachev has more cage time on record.