BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Irene Aldana vs.
Katlyn Cerminara

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-6-0 Irene Aldana · UFC
11-6-0 Katlyn Cerminara · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-6-0
UFC record
11-6-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
38.4
AgeΔ 0.8 yrs
37.6
5'9"
HeightΔ 0"
5'9"
68"
ReachΔ 0"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
22.7
Layoff (months)Δ 6.2 mo
28.9
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Irene Aldana carries real power — 0.22 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.08 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Irene Aldana absorbs 6.64 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.51 Women's Bantamweight norm — hittable.
Katlyn Cerminara rarely shoots — 0.31 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Irene Aldana

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 86
Tier 3 — regional circuit 62

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.92 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Katlyn Cerminara

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 116
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10655.19/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
11044.58/min · norm 3.91
13636.64/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
10804.48/min · norm 3.81
39.9%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
34.9%norm 44.9%
56.3%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
62.3%norm 55.95%
30.22/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
10.06/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Irene Aldana

Distance 93.9% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 2.8% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 7.5%)

Katlyn Cerminara

Distance 93.9% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Irene Aldana

Head 81.5% (norm 75.2%) · Body 9.6% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 8.9% (norm 8.8%)

Katlyn Cerminara

Head 79.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Aldana L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Cerminara L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 948 / 2504 37.9% 38.3% 960 / 2967 32.4% 39.9%
In the clinch 55 / 74 74.3% 73.3% 86 / 123 69.9% 73.3%
On the ground 62 / 89 69.7% 70.8% 58 / 69 84.1% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 743 / 2174 34.2% 37.7% 677 / 2520 26.9% 34.9%
To the body 145 / 255 56.9% 70.0% 269 / 437 61.6% 69.5%
To the legs 177 / 238 74.4% 80.9% 158 / 202 78.2% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Aldana L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Cerminara L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1258 / 2942 42.8% 41.3% 942 / 2687 35.1% 38.8%
In the clinch 44 / 74 59.5% 74.7% 98 / 129 76.0% 74.1%
On the ground 61 / 103 59.2% 74.2% 40 / 47 85.1% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 828 / 2395 34.6% 38.1% 563 / 2131 26.4% 35.3%
To the body 242 / 388 62.4% 73.2% 186 / 325 57.2% 69.0%
To the legs 293 / 336 87.2% 80.9% 331 / 407 81.3% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

250.0% acc · 0.15/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
515.6% acc · 0.31/15 · norm 1.02
5677.8% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
2650.0% def · norm 58.95%
4:302.2% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
19:007.9% of cage time · norm 19.15%
28:442:06 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
38:452:24 per 15 · norm 3:03
30.22/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
50.31/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cerminara has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.