BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Iasmin Lucindo vs.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-2-0 Iasmin Lucindo · UFC
9-10-0 Karolina Kowalkiewicz · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-2-0
UFC record
9-10-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
24.6
AgeΔ 16.2 yrs
40.8
5'3"
HeightΔ 0"
5'3"
66"
ReachΔ 2"
64"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
11.9
Layoff (months)Δ 2.1 mo
9.8
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Iasmin Lucindo hunts takedowns — 2.28 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz rarely shoots — 0.36 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz outworks the Women's Strawweight division — 5.54 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.77 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Iasmin Lucindo

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 62
Tier 3 — regional circuit 124

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.9 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 910
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.74 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 4 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3183.22/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
13945.54/min · norm 3.77
2762.80/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
14515.77/min · norm 3.94
45.5%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
43.0%norm 44.5%
62.1%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
56.9%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Iasmin Lucindo

Distance 90.3% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.4% (norm 5.0%)

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Distance 88.2% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 1.5% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Iasmin Lucindo

Head 79.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 16.2% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 9.1%)

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Head 76.9% (norm 76.4%) · Body 15.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lucindo L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Kowalkiewicz L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 266 / 631 42.2% 38.3% 1101 / 2859 38.5% 38.3%
In the clinch 31 / 44 70.5% 72.6% 253 / 334 75.7% 72.6%
On the ground 21 / 24 too few to rate 75.0% 40 / 50 80.0% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 210 / 555 37.8% 35.4% 852 / 2494 34.2% 35.4%
To the body 84 / 113 74.3% 69.3% 370 / 517 71.6% 69.3%
To the legs 24 / 31 77.4% 77.9% 172 / 232 74.1% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lucindo L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Kowalkiewicz L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 240 / 678 35.4% 39.7% 1172 / 2983 39.3% 39.7%
In the clinch 30 / 43 69.8% 71.5% 230 / 324 71.0% 71.5%
On the ground 6 / 8 too few to rate 74.4% 49 / 57 86.0% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 155 / 535 29.0% 36.0% 858 / 2517 34.1% 36.0%
To the body 67 / 108 62.0% 68.4% 376 / 560 67.1% 68.4%
To the legs 54 / 86 62.8% 79.1% 217 / 287 75.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1555.6% acc · 2.28/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
623.1% acc · 0.36/15 · norm 1.10
1168.8% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
5074.6% def · norm 64.1%
24:5025.2% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
26:0010.3% of cage time · norm 19.4%
12:431:55 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
45:322:42 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.15/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
30.18/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kowalkiewicz has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.