BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Iasmin Lucindo vs.
Brogan Walker

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-2-0 Iasmin Lucindo · UFC
0-3-0 Brogan Walker · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-2-0
UFC record
0-3-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
24.6
AgeΔ 13.4 yrs
38
5'3"
HeightΔ 1"
5'4"
66"
ReachΔ 1"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
11.9
Layoff (months)Δ 1.9 mo
10
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Iasmin Lucindo hunts takedowns — 2.28 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Brogan Walker's takedown defense leaks — 11% stopped, vs a 59% Women's Flyweight norm.
Brogan Walker is wasteful with head shots — only 19% land, vs a 35% Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Iasmin Lucindo

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 62
Tier 3 — regional circuit 124

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.9 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Brogan Walker

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 03
Tier 3 — regional circuit 72

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.21 · 0 tier-1/2 wins · 1 finish wins over 12 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3183.22/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
811.84/min · norm 3.91
2762.80/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
1463.32/min · norm 3.81
45.5%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
32.0%norm 44.9%
62.1%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
47.5%norm 55.95%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Iasmin Lucindo

Distance 90.3% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.4% (norm 5.0%)

Brogan Walker

Distance 91.3% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.0% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Iasmin Lucindo

Head 79.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 16.2% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 9.1%)

Brogan Walker

Head 71.5% (norm 78.1%) · Body 11.9% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 16.6% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lucindo L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Walker L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 266 / 631 42.2% 38.3% 66 / 231 28.6% 39.9%
In the clinch 31 / 44 70.5% 72.6% 10 / 12 too few to rate 73.3%
On the ground 21 / 24 too few to rate 75.0% 5 / 10 too few to rate 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 210 / 555 37.8% 35.4% 34 / 181 18.8% 34.9%
To the body 84 / 113 74.3% 69.3% 21 / 30 70.0% 69.5%
To the legs 24 / 31 77.4% 77.9% 26 / 42 61.9% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lucindo L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Walker L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 240 / 678 35.4% 39.7% 108 / 221 48.9% 38.8%
In the clinch 30 / 43 69.8% 71.5% 10 / 11 too few to rate 74.1%
On the ground 6 / 8 too few to rate 74.4% 28 / 46 60.9% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 155 / 535 29.0% 36.0% 107 / 230 46.5% 35.3%
To the body 67 / 108 62.0% 68.4% 26 / 34 76.5% 69.0%
To the legs 54 / 86 62.8% 79.1% 13 / 14 too few to rate 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1555.6% acc · 2.28/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
375.0% acc · 1.02/15 · norm 1.02
1168.8% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
111.1% def · norm 58.95%
24:5025.2% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
5:1511.9% of cage time · norm 19.15%
12:431:55 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
13:024:26 per 15 · norm 3:03
10.15/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lucindo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.