BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Holly Holm vs.
Valentina Shevchenko

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-7-0 (1 NC) Holly Holm · UFC
15-3-1 Valentina Shevchenko · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-7-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
15-3-1
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
44
AgeΔ 6 yrs
38
5'8"
HeightΔ 3"
5'5"
69"
ReachΔ 3"
66"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
27.8
Layoff (months)Δ 19.1 mo
8.7
LNCWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWDL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Valentina Shevchenko hunts takedowns — 2.65 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Valentina Shevchenko owns the mat — in control 31% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Flyweight norm.
Holly Holm carries real power — 0.12 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.08 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Holly Holm

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 97
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Valentina Shevchenko

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 153
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.56 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8053.13/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
11003.04/min · norm 3.91
7502.92/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
7262.00/min · norm 3.81
40.8%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
52.6%norm 44.9%
55.0%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
63.5%norm 55.95%
20.12/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
20.08/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Holly Holm

Distance 89.4% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 7.5%)

Valentina Shevchenko

Distance 81.0% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.6% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Holly Holm

Head 68.5% (norm 75.2%) · Body 18.6% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 8.8%)

Valentina Shevchenko

Head 76.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 10.6% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Holm L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Shevchenko L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 659 / 1766 37.3% 38.3% 790 / 1693 46.7% 39.9%
In the clinch 94 / 120 78.3% 73.3% 104 / 155 67.1% 73.3%
On the ground 52 / 89 58.4% 70.8% 206 / 242 85.1% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 377 / 1353 27.9% 37.7% 722 / 1590 45.4% 34.9%
To the body 246 / 368 66.8% 70.0% 150 / 221 67.9% 69.5%
To the legs 182 / 254 71.7% 80.9% 228 / 279 81.7% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Holm L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Shevchenko L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 531 / 1401 37.9% 41.3% 529 / 1739 30.4% 38.8%
In the clinch 156 / 187 83.4% 74.7% 153 / 183 83.6% 74.1%
On the ground 63 / 79 79.7% 74.2% 44 / 69 63.8% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 394 / 1154 34.1% 38.1% 265 / 1251 21.2% 35.3%
To the body 206 / 301 68.4% 73.2% 215 / 351 61.3% 69.0%
To the legs 150 / 212 70.8% 80.9% 246 / 389 63.2% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1530.0% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
6461.5% acc · 2.65/15 · norm 1.02
2976.3% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
4276.4% def · norm 58.95%
61:5424.1% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
113:4931.4% of cage time · norm 19.15%
18:271:04 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
51:082:07 per 15 · norm 3:03
10.06/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
70.29/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Shevchenko has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.