BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Holly Holm vs.
Ketlen Vieira

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-7-0 (1 NC) Holly Holm · UFC
10-5-0 Ketlen Vieira · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-7-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
10-5-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
44
AgeΔ 10 yrs
34
5'8"
HeightΔ 0"
5'8"
69"
ReachΔ 1"
68"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
27.8
Layoff (months)Δ 25.1 mo
2.7
LNCWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ketlen Vieira is a submission threat — 0.52 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.34 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Holly Holm carries real power — 0.12 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.08 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Ketlen Vieira hunts takedowns — 1.31 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.91 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Holly Holm

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 97
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Ketlen Vieira

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 105
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.27 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8053.13/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
6212.71/min · norm 3.56
7502.92/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
8553.73/min · norm 3.51
40.8%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
40.2%norm 46.65%
55.0%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
50.5%norm 52.45%
20.12/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Holly Holm

Distance 89.4% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 7.5%)

Ketlen Vieira

Distance 89.0% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Holly Holm

Head 68.5% (norm 75.2%) · Body 18.6% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 8.8%)

Ketlen Vieira

Head 87.5% (norm 75.2%) · Body 8.2% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 4.3% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Holm L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Vieira L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 659 / 1766 37.3% 38.3% 483 / 1376 35.1% 38.3%
In the clinch 94 / 120 78.3% 73.3% 99 / 123 80.5% 73.3%
On the ground 52 / 89 58.4% 70.8% 39 / 47 83.0% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 377 / 1353 27.9% 37.7% 474 / 1352 35.1% 37.7%
To the body 246 / 368 66.8% 70.0% 88 / 127 69.3% 70.0%
To the legs 182 / 254 71.7% 80.9% 59 / 67 88.1% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Holm L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Vieira L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 531 / 1401 37.9% 41.3% 615 / 1400 43.9% 41.3%
In the clinch 156 / 187 83.4% 74.7% 154 / 192 80.2% 74.7%
On the ground 63 / 79 79.7% 74.2% 86 / 136 63.2% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 394 / 1154 34.1% 38.1% 371 / 1128 32.9% 38.1%
To the body 206 / 301 68.4% 73.2% 292 / 391 74.7% 73.2%
To the legs 150 / 212 70.8% 80.9% 192 / 209 91.9% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1530.0% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
2042.6% acc · 1.31/15 · norm 0.91
2976.3% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
3690.0% def · norm 62.5%
61:5424.1% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
72:3131.7% of cage time · norm 26.55%
18:271:04 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
37:282:27 per 15 · norm 3:19
10.06/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
80.52/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Holm has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.