BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Holly Holm vs.
Cristiane Justino

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-7-0 (1 NC) Holly Holm · UFC
6-1-0 Cristiane Justino · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-7-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
6-1-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Featherweight
44
AgeΔ 3 yrs
41
5'8"
HeightΔ 0"
5'8"
69"
ReachΔ 1"
68"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
27.8
Layoff (months)Δ 56.6 mo
84.4
LNCWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cristiane Justino carries real power — 0.46 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.17 Women's Featherweight norm.
Cristiane Justino outworks the Women's Featherweight division — 7.07 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.85 norm.
Holly Holm carries real power — 0.12 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.08 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Holly Holm

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 97
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Cristiane Justino

Full career not yet synced for Cristiane Justino — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8053.13/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
4607.07/min · norm 3.85
7502.92/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
1482.28/min · norm 2.33
40.8%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
57.0%norm 51.0%
55.0%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
67.9%norm 64.3%
20.12/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
20.46/15 · norm 0.17

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Holly Holm

Distance 89.4% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 7.5%)

Cristiane Justino

Distance 72.1% (norm 72.1%) · Clinch 16.0% (norm 16.0%) · Ground 11.9% (norm 11.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Holly Holm

Head 68.5% (norm 75.2%) · Body 18.6% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 8.8%)

Cristiane Justino

Head 71.0% (norm 74.7%) · Body 20.4% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 8.6% (norm 9.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Holm L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Justino L/AAccWomen's Featherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 659 / 1766 37.3% 38.3% 297 / 582 51.0% 47.3%
In the clinch 94 / 120 78.3% 73.3% 101 / 129 78.3% 78.3%
On the ground 52 / 89 58.4% 70.8% 62 / 96 64.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 377 / 1353 27.9% 37.7% 260 / 573 45.4% 42.9%
To the body 246 / 368 66.8% 70.0% 136 / 165 82.4% 79.1%
To the legs 182 / 254 71.7% 80.9% 64 / 69 92.8% 82.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Featherweight: 3 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Holm L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Justino L/AOpp accWomen's Featherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 531 / 1401 37.9% 41.3% 120 / 414 29.0% 32.4%
In the clinch 156 / 187 83.4% 74.7% 23 / 37 62.2% 72.7%
On the ground 63 / 79 79.7% 74.2% 5 / 10 too few to rate 72.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 394 / 1154 34.1% 38.1% 85 / 361 23.5% 26.3%
To the body 206 / 301 68.4% 73.2% 38 / 63 60.3% 60.3%
To the legs 150 / 212 70.8% 80.9% 25 / 37 67.6% 67.6%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1530.0% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
360.0% acc · 0.69/15 · norm 1.18
2976.3% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1588.2% def · norm 71.9%
61:5424.1% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
9:3314.7% of cage time · norm 24.0%
18:271:04 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
10:332:26 per 15 · norm 2:26
10.06/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Holm has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.