BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Henry Cejudo vs.
Marlon Moraes

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-6-0 Henry Cejudo · UFC
5-6-0 Marlon Moraes · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-6-0
UFC record
5-6-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
39.5
AgeΔ 1.2 yrs
38.3
5'4"
HeightΔ 2"
5'6"
64"
ReachΔ 3"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
8
Layoff (months)Δ 44.8 mo
52.8
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Marlon Moraes carries real power — 0.87 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Henry Cejudo carries real power — 0.34 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Henry Cejudo hunts takedowns — 1.78 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Henry Cejudo

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 106
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.32 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.7 wins over .500

Marlon Moraes

Full career not yet synced for Marlon Moraes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8383.83/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
2903.37/min · norm 3.52
8393.84/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
3904.53/min · norm 3.58
47.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
40.6%norm 43.4%
57.3%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
54.2%norm 56.6%
50.34/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
50.87/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Henry Cejudo

Distance 78.8% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 13.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 7.8% (norm 7.3%)

Marlon Moraes

Distance 95.8% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 0.8% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 3.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Henry Cejudo

Head 72.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 18.1% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 9.6% (norm 9.3%)

Marlon Moraes

Head 79.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cejudo L/AAccFlyweight med Moraes L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 578 / 1394 41.5% 40.0% 267 / 684 39.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 157 / 237 66.2% 70.4% 4 / 6 too few to rate 68.7%
On the ground 103 / 138 74.6% 69.7% 19 / 24 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 457 / 1278 35.8% 37.6% 189 / 566 33.4% 34.9%
To the body 240 / 321 74.8% 68.5% 46 / 70 65.7% 66.8%
To the legs 141 / 170 82.9% 80.0% 55 / 78 70.5% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cejudo L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Moraes L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 679 / 1751 38.8% 40.1% 264 / 692 38.2% 39.3%
In the clinch 122 / 165 73.9% 68.8% 24 / 30 80.0% 70.4%
On the ground 38 / 49 77.6% 71.1% 102 / 129 79.1% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 453 / 1448 31.3% 35.2% 275 / 684 40.2% 34.9%
To the body 221 / 306 72.2% 68.2% 70 / 107 65.4% 66.0%
To the legs 165 / 211 78.2% 80.3% 45 / 60 75.0% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2629.9% acc · 1.78/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
541.7% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 1.12
3472.3% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
646.2% def · norm 66.7%
44:3820.4% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
6:037.0% of cage time · norm 17.4%
14:110:58 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
9:511:42 per 15 · norm 2:24
20.14/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
20.35/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cejudo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.