BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Hector Lombard vs.
Tim Boetsch

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-8-0 (1 NC) Hector Lombard · UFC
12-12-0 Tim Boetsch · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-8-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
12-12-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
48
AgeΔ 3 yrs
45
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
71"
ReachΔ 3"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
94.4
Layoff (months)Δ 5.5 mo
88.9
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Hector Lombard carries real power — 0.81 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Tim Boetsch is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Tim Boetsch carries real power — 0.48 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Hector Lombard

Full career not yet synced for Hector Lombard — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500

Tim Boetsch

Full career not yet synced for Tim Boetsch — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4353.34/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
6352.93/min · norm 3.25
4613.54/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
6292.90/min · norm 3.20
48.9%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
50.7%norm 47.4%
55.0%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
57.1%norm 53.8%
70.81/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
70.48/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Hector Lombard

Distance 78.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 10.5% (norm 10.3%)

Tim Boetsch

Distance 73.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 18.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 7.9% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Hector Lombard

Head 78.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 8.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 13.6% (norm 8.4%)

Tim Boetsch

Head 71.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 18.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lombard L/AAccMiddleweight med Boetsch L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 303 / 698 43.4% 40.5% 397 / 920 43.2% 40.5%
In the clinch 61 / 98 62.2% 70.3% 161 / 234 68.8% 70.3%
On the ground 71 / 93 76.3% 69.1% 77 / 99 77.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 289 / 693 41.7% 38.9% 364 / 891 40.9% 38.9%
To the body 52 / 75 69.3% 71.7% 161 / 233 69.1% 71.7%
To the legs 94 / 121 77.7% 83.3% 110 / 129 85.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lombard L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Boetsch L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 282 / 808 34.9% 39.5% 331 / 1011 32.7% 39.5%
In the clinch 71 / 92 77.2% 70.9% 148 / 236 62.7% 70.9%
On the ground 108 / 125 86.4% 69.0% 150 / 220 68.2% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 291 / 786 37.0% 37.9% 373 / 1137 32.8% 37.9%
To the body 94 / 135 69.6% 71.3% 159 / 208 76.4% 71.3%
To the legs 76 / 104 73.1% 82.1% 97 / 122 79.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1548.4% acc · 1.73/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
2134.4% acc · 1.45/15 · norm 1.42
2379.3% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
3259.3% def · norm 63.1%
28:1921.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
31:3414.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
7:120:49 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
61:284:15 per 15 · norm 3:00
20.23/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
110.76/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Boetsch has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.