BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Hatsu Hioki vs.
Ivan Menjivar

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-5-0 Hatsu Hioki · UFC
4-5-0 Ivan Menjivar · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-5-0
UFC record
4-5-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
43.1
AgeΔ 1.1 yrs
44.2
5'11"
HeightΔ 5"
5'6"
73"
ReachΔ 9"
64"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
134.9
Layoff (months)Δ 14.3 mo
149.2
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ivan Menjivar is a submission threat — 1.03 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Hatsu Hioki hunts takedowns — 2.48 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Hatsu Hioki owns the mat — in control 35% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Hatsu Hioki

Full career not yet synced for Hatsu Hioki — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Ivan Menjivar

Full career not yet synced for Ivan Menjivar — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2522.32/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
2072.36/min · norm 3.52
2432.23/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
2102.40/min · norm 3.58
43.6%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
36.4%norm 43.4%
65.0%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
65.5%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
20.34/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Hatsu Hioki

Distance 83.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 11.2% (norm 6.5%)

Ivan Menjivar

Distance 83.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 8.3% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 8.5% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Hatsu Hioki

Head 70.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 25.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 3.6% (norm 7.8%)

Ivan Menjivar

Head 65.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 19.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 15.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hioki L/AAccFeatherweight med Menjivar L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 178 / 480 37.1% 40.9% 140 / 473 29.6% 39.0%
In the clinch 22 / 33 66.7% 70.8% 32 / 47 68.1% 68.7%
On the ground 52 / 65 80.0% 69.2% 35 / 48 72.9% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 152 / 408 37.3% 37.2% 92 / 370 24.9% 34.9%
To the body 82 / 149 55.0% 68.2% 63 / 110 57.3% 66.8%
To the legs 18 / 21 too few to rate 80.7% 52 / 88 59.1% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hioki L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Menjivar L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 160 / 565 28.3% 39.2% 132 / 473 27.9% 39.3%
In the clinch 43 / 65 66.2% 70.3% 35 / 48 72.9% 70.4%
On the ground 40 / 65 61.5% 69.4% 43 / 88 48.9% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 137 / 502 27.3% 35.9% 107 / 453 23.6% 34.9%
To the body 61 / 103 59.2% 67.9% 56 / 96 58.3% 66.0%
To the legs 45 / 90 50.0% 81.5% 47 / 60 78.3% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1854.5% acc · 2.48/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
228.6% acc · 0.34/15 · norm 1.12
1050.0% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
830.8% def · norm 66.7%
37:5034.8% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
4:134.8% of cage time · norm 17.4%
24:513:25 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
36:096:11 per 15 · norm 2:24
50.69/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
61.03/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Menjivar has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.