BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Gustavo Lopez vs.
Anthony Birchak

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-1 Gustavo Lopez · UFC
2-4-0 Anthony Birchak · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-1
UFC record
2-4-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
37.1
AgeΔ 3.1 yrs
40.2
5'5"
HeightΔ 3"
5'8"
67"
ReachΔ 2"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
58.5
Layoff (months)Δ 5.1 mo
63.6
DLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Anthony Birchak carries real power — 0.96 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Gustavo Lopez is a submission threat — 0.69 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Anthony Birchak is a submission threat — 0.48 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Gustavo Lopez

Full career not yet synced for Gustavo Lopez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Anthony Birchak

Full career not yet synced for Anthony Birchak — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1072.48/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
1233.93/min · norm 3.52
1673.87/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
1153.67/min · norm 3.58
40.2%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
36.6%norm 43.4%
57.1%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
56.8%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
20.96/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Gustavo Lopez

Distance 82.7% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 10.2% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 7.1% (norm 6.5%)

Anthony Birchak

Distance 77.7% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 15.8% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 6.5% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Gustavo Lopez

Head 79.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Anthony Birchak

Head 73.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 17.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lopez L/AAccBantamweight med Birchak L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 83 / 220 37.7% 39.0% 82 / 261 31.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 11 / 27 40.7% 68.7% 27 / 53 50.9% 68.7%
On the ground 13 / 19 too few to rate 70.2% 14 / 22 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 68 / 212 32.1% 34.9% 66 / 246 26.8% 34.9%
To the body 24 / 32 75.0% 66.8% 32 / 60 53.3% 66.8%
To the legs 15 / 22 too few to rate 79.4% 25 / 30 83.3% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lopez L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Birchak L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 111 / 304 36.5% 39.3% 69 / 188 36.7% 39.3%
In the clinch 7 / 11 too few to rate 70.4% 19 / 32 59.4% 70.4%
On the ground 49 / 74 66.2% 72.4% 27 / 46 58.7% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 110 / 311 35.4% 34.9% 90 / 224 40.2% 34.9%
To the body 36 / 55 65.5% 66.0% 20 / 31 64.5% 66.0%
To the legs 21 / 23 too few to rate 79.1% 5 / 11 too few to rate 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

541.7% acc · 1.74/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
114.3% acc · 0.48/15 · norm 1.12
631.6% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1361.9% def · norm 66.7%
3:117.4% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
3:4111.8% of cage time · norm 17.4%
9:243:15 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
10:555:13 per 15 · norm 2:24
20.69/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
10.48/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Birchak has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.