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Gunnar Nelson vs. Rick Story

UFC 10-6-0 vs. 12-7-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-6-0
UFC record
12-7-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
38
AgeΔ 4 yrs
42
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
72"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
19
Layoff (months)Δ 103 mo
122
LWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Gunnar Nelson is a submission threat — 1.00 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Rick Story is a submission threat — 0.89 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Rick Story hunts takedowns — 2.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Gunnar Nelson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 106
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.39 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Rick Story

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 148
Tier 3 — regional circuit 72

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.07 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2921.77/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
9013.80/min · norm 3.17
5063.06/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
5152.17/min · norm 3.08
61.2%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
41.8%norm 44.75%
48.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
62.5%norm 55.25%
10.09/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
60.38/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Gunnar Nelson

Distance 64.2% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 27.3% (norm 8.1%)

Rick Story

Distance 74.4% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 14.5% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 11.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Gunnar Nelson

Head 82.0% (norm 78.3%) · Body 12.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 8.0%)

Rick Story

Head 73.5% (norm 78.3%) · Body 20.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nelson L/AAccWelterweight med Story L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 148 / 306 48.4% 38.5% 548 / 1606 34.1% 38.5%
In the clinch 31 / 41 75.6% 67.8% 201 / 312 64.4% 67.8%
On the ground 113 / 130 86.9% 67.0% 152 / 240 63.3% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 222 / 391 56.8% 36.4% 465 / 1586 29.3% 36.4%
To the body 47 / 59 79.7% 70.7% 312 / 432 72.2% 70.7%
To the legs 23 / 27 85.2% 83.0% 124 / 140 88.6% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nelson L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Story L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 277 / 678 40.9% 39.1% 395 / 1173 33.7% 39.1%
In the clinch 123 / 162 75.9% 68.9% 94 / 165 57.0% 68.9%
On the ground 106 / 149 71.1% 68.0% 26 / 36 72.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 265 / 686 38.6% 35.6% 336 / 1118 30.1% 35.6%
To the body 151 / 197 76.6% 69.6% 108 / 168 64.3% 69.6%
To the legs 90 / 106 84.9% 82.2% 71 / 88 80.7% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2252.4% acc · 2.00/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
4048.2% acc · 2.53/15 · norm 1.31
1368.4% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4863.2% def · norm 63.9%
58:2635.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
74:5431.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
22:172:01 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
39:212:29 per 15 · norm 3:15
111.00/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
140.89/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Story has more cage time on record.