BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Guido Cannetti vs.
Randy Costa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-6-0 Guido Cannetti · UFC
2-4-0 Randy Costa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-6-0
UFC record
2-4-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
46
AgeΔ 14 yrs
32
5'6"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
68"
ReachΔ 5"
73"
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
40.9
Layoff (months)Δ 5.3 mo
46.2
LWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Randy Costa carries real power — 1.69 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Randy Costa absorbs 7.58 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.58 Bantamweight norm — hittable.
Guido Cannetti hunts takedowns — 2.27 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Guido Cannetti

Full career not yet synced for Guido Cannetti — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Randy Costa

Full career not yet synced for Randy Costa — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2503.44/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
1746.53/min · norm 3.52
2062.84/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
2027.58/min · norm 3.58
55.3%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
46.3%norm 43.4%
51.4%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
58.0%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
31.69/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Guido Cannetti

Distance 75.7% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 16.2% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 8.2% (norm 6.5%)

Randy Costa

Distance 93.4% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Guido Cannetti

Head 58.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 23.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 18.4% (norm 8.4%)

Randy Costa

Head 89.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cannetti L/AAccBantamweight med Costa L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 167 / 342 48.8% 39.0% 155 / 351 44.2% 39.0%
In the clinch 54 / 73 74.0% 68.7% 14 / 16 too few to rate 68.7%
On the ground 29 / 37 78.4% 70.2% 5 / 9 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 103 / 265 38.9% 34.9% 143 / 337 42.4% 34.9%
To the body 74 / 104 71.2% 66.8% 27 / 35 77.1% 66.8%
To the legs 73 / 83 88.0% 79.4% 4 / 4 too few to rate 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cannetti L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Costa L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 127 / 320 39.7% 39.3% 135 / 386 35.0% 39.3%
In the clinch 47 / 58 81.0% 70.4% 38 / 49 77.6% 70.4%
On the ground 32 / 46 69.6% 72.4% 29 / 46 63.0% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 115 / 279 41.2% 34.9% 93 / 328 28.4% 34.9%
To the body 66 / 110 60.0% 66.0% 65 / 104 62.5% 66.0%
To the legs 25 / 35 71.4% 79.1% 44 / 49 89.8% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1155.0% acc · 2.27/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.12
2064.5% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
150.0% def · norm 66.7%
16:2222.5% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
3:1612.3% of cage time · norm 17.4%
15:263:11 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
5:383:10 per 15 · norm 2:24
20.41/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cannetti has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.