BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Greg Soto vs.
Matthew Riddle

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Greg Soto · UFC
7-3-0 (2 NC) Matthew Riddle · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
7-3-0 (2 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
40.2
AgeΔ 0.4 yrs
40.6
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
73"
ReachΔ 3"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
187.1
Layoff (months)Δ 25.5 mo
161.6
LWL
Last 5 (newest first)
NCWNCWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Matthew Riddle hunts takedowns — 3.51 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Matthew Riddle owns the mat — in control 49% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Greg Soto is a submission threat — 0.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Greg Soto

Full career not yet synced for Greg Soto — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Matthew Riddle

Full career not yet synced for Matthew Riddle — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

973.21/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
5033.01/min · norm 3.17
792.61/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
4582.74/min · norm 3.06
63.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 44.9%
53.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
55.0%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Greg Soto

Distance 39.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 19.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 41.4% (norm 8.1%)

Matthew Riddle

Distance 60.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 17.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 22.3% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Greg Soto

Head 73.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)

Matthew Riddle

Head 72.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Soto L/AAccWelterweight med Riddle L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 22 / 60 36.7% 38.6% 172 / 712 24.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 22 / 29 75.9% 67.8% 153 / 209 73.2% 67.8%
On the ground 53 / 63 84.1% 67.2% 178 / 265 67.2% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 60 / 112 53.6% 37.2% 249 / 860 29.0% 37.2%
To the body 29 / 31 93.5% 70.7% 147 / 196 75.0% 70.7%
To the legs 8 / 9 too few to rate 82.9% 107 / 130 82.3% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Soto L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Riddle L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 20 / 76 26.3% 39.0% 287 / 751 38.2% 39.0%
In the clinch 47 / 69 68.1% 68.9% 93 / 143 65.0% 68.9%
On the ground 12 / 23 too few to rate 68.0% 78 / 123 63.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 37 / 119 31.1% 35.6% 294 / 794 37.0% 35.6%
To the body 18 / 21 too few to rate 69.6% 81 / 124 65.3% 69.6%
To the legs 24 / 28 85.7% 82.1% 83 / 99 83.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

327.3% acc · 1.49/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
3950.0% acc · 3.51/15 · norm 1.27
444.4% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2589.3% def · norm 63.9%
12:1340.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
82:2849.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
10:215:07 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
20:221:49 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.99/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
60.54/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Riddle has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.