BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Gilbert Burns vs.
Rashid Magomedov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-10-0 Gilbert Burns · UFC
5-1-0 Rashid Magomedov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-10-0
UFC record
5-1-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40
AgeΔ 1 yrs
41
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.6
Layoff (months)Δ 108.1 mo
111.7
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rashid Magomedov carries real power — 0.83 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Gilbert Burns hunts takedowns — 2.04 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Rashid Magomedov rarely shoots — 0.67 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Gilbert Burns

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1510
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.21 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500

Rashid Magomedov

Full career not yet synced for Rashid Magomedov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9743.16/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3964.40/min · norm 3.42
11353.68/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2743.05/min · norm 3.37
48.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
49.1%norm 43.5%
52.5%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
54.6%norm 56.3%
40.19/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.83/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Gilbert Burns

Distance 84.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.5% (norm 8.1%)

Rashid Magomedov

Distance 88.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Gilbert Burns

Head 74.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.9% (norm 8.4%)

Rashid Magomedov

Head 66.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 23.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Burns L/AAccWelterweight med Magomedov L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 737 / 1708 43.1% 38.6% 326 / 712 45.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 99 / 144 68.8% 67.8% 48 / 62 77.4% 67.3%
On the ground 138 / 173 79.8% 67.2% 22 / 33 66.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 571 / 1506 37.9% 37.2% 212 / 534 39.7% 35.0%
To the body 216 / 279 77.4% 70.7% 118 / 189 62.4% 69.1%
To the legs 187 / 240 77.9% 82.9% 66 / 84 78.6% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Burns L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Magomedov L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 957 / 2144 44.6% 39.0% 209 / 507 41.2% 38.9%
In the clinch 89 / 121 73.6% 68.9% 65 / 95 68.4% 68.6%
On the ground 89 / 126 70.6% 68.0% 0 / 2 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 766 / 1896 40.4% 35.6% 77 / 340 22.6% 35.1%
To the body 196 / 298 65.8% 69.6% 85 / 133 63.9% 68.1%
To the legs 173 / 197 87.8% 82.1% 112 / 131 85.5% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4235.6% acc · 2.04/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
457.1% acc · 0.67/15 · norm 1.38
2253.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2589.3% def · norm 64.0%
70:2122.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
7:398.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
36:521:47 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
16:322:45 per 15 · norm 2:46
90.44/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.17/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Burns has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.