BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Gilbert Burns vs.
Mike Davis

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-10-0 Gilbert Burns · UFC
5-3-0 Mike Davis · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-10-0
UFC record
5-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40
AgeΔ 7 yrs
33
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.6
Layoff (months)Δ 3.2 mo
0.4
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mike Davis carries real power — 0.60 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Mike Davis is a submission threat — 1.05 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Gilbert Burns hunts takedowns — 2.04 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Gilbert Burns

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1510
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.21 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500

Mike Davis

Full career not yet synced for Mike Davis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9743.16/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
4174.18/min · norm 3.42
11353.68/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
4244.25/min · norm 3.37
48.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
54.7%norm 43.5%
52.5%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
56.3%norm 56.3%
40.19/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
40.60/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Gilbert Burns

Distance 84.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.5% (norm 8.1%)

Mike Davis

Distance 79.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 15.7% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Gilbert Burns

Head 74.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.9% (norm 8.4%)

Mike Davis

Head 72.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 21.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Burns L/AAccWelterweight med Davis L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 737 / 1708 43.1% 38.6% 300 / 602 49.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 99 / 144 68.8% 67.8% 32 / 40 80.0% 67.3%
On the ground 138 / 173 79.8% 67.2% 85 / 120 70.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 571 / 1506 37.9% 37.2% 262 / 552 47.5% 35.0%
To the body 216 / 279 77.4% 70.7% 116 / 160 72.5% 69.1%
To the legs 187 / 240 77.9% 82.9% 39 / 50 78.0% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Burns L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Davis L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 957 / 2144 44.6% 39.0% 349 / 852 41.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 89 / 121 73.6% 68.9% 34 / 53 64.2% 68.6%
On the ground 89 / 126 70.6% 68.0% 41 / 65 63.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 766 / 1896 40.4% 35.6% 263 / 774 34.0% 35.1%
To the body 196 / 298 65.8% 69.6% 69 / 97 71.1% 68.1%
To the legs 173 / 197 87.8% 82.1% 92 / 99 92.9% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4235.6% acc · 2.04/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1650.0% acc · 2.40/15 · norm 1.38
2253.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1851.4% def · norm 64.0%
70:2122.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
24:5625.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
36:521:47 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
26:464:01 per 15 · norm 2:46
90.44/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
71.05/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Burns has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.