BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Genaro Valdez vs.
Evan Elder

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-3-0 Genaro Valdez · UFC
3-2-0 Evan Elder · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-3-0
UFC record
3-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
34.6
AgeΔ 5.3 yrs
29.3
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 0"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
36.7
Layoff (months)Δ 21.4 mo
15.3
LLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Genaro Valdez rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Genaro Valdez absorbs 6.71 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Evan Elder carries real power — 0.48 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Genaro Valdez

Full career not yet synced for Genaro Valdez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500

Evan Elder

Full career not yet synced for Evan Elder — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1233.70/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3535.66/min · norm 3.42
2236.71/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
3084.94/min · norm 3.37
28.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
50.9%norm 43.5%
48.3%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
57.4%norm 56.3%
10.45/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.48/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Genaro Valdez

Distance 94.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.7% (norm 8.0%)

Evan Elder

Distance 93.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Genaro Valdez

Head 85.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.6% (norm 7.9%)

Evan Elder

Head 66.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 24.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Valdez L/AAccLightweight med Elder L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 110 / 406 27.1% 37.9% 326 / 650 50.2% 37.9%
In the clinch 10 / 23 too few to rate 67.3% 14 / 20 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 3 / 3 too few to rate 69.1% 13 / 23 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 86 / 367 23.4% 35.0% 162 / 463 35.0% 35.0%
To the body 14 / 28 50.0% 69.1% 134 / 167 80.2% 69.1%
To the legs 23 / 37 62.2% 81.9% 57 / 63 90.5% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Valdez L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Elder L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 173 / 354 48.9% 38.9% 251 / 646 38.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 7 / 17 too few to rate 68.6% 22 / 34 64.7% 68.6%
On the ground 43 / 60 71.7% 68.0% 35 / 43 81.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 139 / 327 42.5% 35.1% 194 / 551 35.2% 35.1%
To the body 43 / 60 71.7% 68.1% 70 / 106 66.0% 68.1%
To the legs 41 / 44 93.2% 81.5% 44 / 66 66.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
215.4% acc · 0.48/15 · norm 1.38
436.4% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
440.0% def · norm 64.0%
0:110.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
5:439.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
5:532:39 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
8:392:04 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.48/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Elder has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.