BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Gavin Tucker vs.
Diego Lopes

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-3-0 Gavin Tucker · UFC
7-3-0 Diego Lopes · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-3-0
UFC record
7-3-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
40
AgeΔ 9 yrs
31
5'6"
HeightΔ 5"
5'11"
66"
ReachΔ 6"
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
36
Layoff (months)Δ 34.3 mo
1.7
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Gavin Tucker is a submission threat — 1.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Diego Lopes carries real power — 0.77 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Gavin Tucker hunts takedowns — 3.13 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Gavin Tucker

Full career not yet synced for Gavin Tucker — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Diego Lopes

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 74
Tier 3 — regional circuit 214

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.09 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 24 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3094.29/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
4623.94/min · norm 3.54
3014.18/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
5484.68/min · norm 3.47
44.7%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
47.0%norm 45.0%
57.4%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
47.2%norm 54.85%
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
60.77/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Gavin Tucker

Distance 87.4% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 2.5% (norm 6.5%)

Diego Lopes

Distance 79.1% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 16.0% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Gavin Tucker

Head 77.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.1% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.7% (norm 7.8%)

Diego Lopes

Head 80.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.6% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tucker L/AAccFeatherweight med Lopes L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 247 / 604 40.9% 40.9% 320 / 777 41.2% 40.9%
In the clinch 49 / 70 70.0% 70.8% 34 / 48 70.8% 70.8%
On the ground 13 / 17 too few to rate 69.2% 108 / 157 68.8% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 189 / 534 35.4% 37.2% 334 / 792 42.2% 37.2%
To the body 78 / 111 70.3% 68.2% 56 / 96 58.3% 68.2%
To the legs 42 / 46 91.3% 80.7% 72 / 94 76.6% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tucker L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Lopes L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 140 / 465 30.1% 39.2% 456 / 927 49.2% 39.2%
In the clinch 65 / 95 68.4% 70.3% 27 / 33 81.8% 70.3%
On the ground 96 / 147 65.3% 69.4% 65 / 78 83.3% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 192 / 554 34.7% 35.9% 433 / 876 49.4% 35.9%
To the body 96 / 134 71.6% 67.9% 38 / 61 62.3% 67.9%
To the legs 13 / 19 too few to rate 81.5% 77 / 101 76.2% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1544.1% acc · 3.13/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
746.7% acc · 0.90/15 · norm 1.19
753.8% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
2374.2% def · norm 61.5%
13:5219.3% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
12:4810.9% of cage time · norm 16.7%
10:052:06 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
15:041:55 per 15 · norm 3:12
71.46/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
81.02/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lopes has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.