BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Garreth McLellan vs.
Paulo Costa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-4-0 Garreth McLellan · UFC
8-4-0 Paulo Costa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-4-0
UFC record
8-4-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
43
AgeΔ 8 yrs
35
6'1"
HeightΔ 0"
6'1"
72"
ReachΔ 0"
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
112.8
Layoff (months)Δ 109 mo
3.8
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Paulo Costa outworks the Middleweight division — 6.15 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Paulo Costa absorbs 5.96 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Garreth McLellan is a submission threat — 0.86 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Garreth McLellan

Full career not yet synced for Garreth McLellan — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Paulo Costa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 84
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.48 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1853.56/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
9346.15/min · norm 3.25
1532.94/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
9045.96/min · norm 3.20
54.4%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
59.3%norm 47.4%
45.2%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
49.4%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
60.59/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Garreth McLellan

Distance 52.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 12.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 35.0% (norm 10.3%)

Paulo Costa

Distance 90.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Garreth McLellan

Head 72.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 8.4%)

Paulo Costa

Head 61.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 29.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone McLellan L/AAccMiddleweight med Costa L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 58 / 180 32.2% 40.5% 826 / 1430 57.8% 40.5%
In the clinch 33 / 41 80.5% 70.3% 49 / 62 79.0% 70.3%
On the ground 94 / 119 79.0% 69.1% 59 / 84 70.2% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 120 / 248 48.4% 38.9% 422 / 966 43.7% 38.9%
To the body 40 / 60 66.7% 71.7% 379 / 460 82.4% 71.7%
To the legs 25 / 32 78.1% 83.3% 133 / 150 88.7% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs McLellan L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Costa L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 75 / 166 45.2% 39.5% 836 / 1695 49.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 59 / 78 75.6% 70.9% 58 / 80 72.5% 70.9%
On the ground 19 / 35 54.3% 69.0% 10 / 12 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 100 / 217 46.1% 37.9% 588 / 1359 43.3% 37.9%
To the body 38 / 46 82.6% 71.3% 195 / 293 66.6% 71.3%
To the legs 15 / 16 too few to rate 82.1% 121 / 135 89.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

422.2% acc · 1.15/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
342.9% acc · 0.30/15 · norm 1.42
834.8% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2177.8% def · norm 63.1%
14:1427.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
8:245.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
20:075:47 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
6:210:37 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.86/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Costa has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.