Gabriel Gonzaga vs.
Justin McCully
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Gabriel Gonzaga
Full career not yet synced for Gabriel Gonzaga — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 4-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500
Justin McCully
Full career not yet synced for Justin McCully — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Gabriel Gonzaga
Distance 67.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 22.5% (norm 9.3%)
Justin McCully
Distance 61.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 19.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 19.5% (norm 9.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Gabriel Gonzaga
Head 78.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 7.6%)
Justin McCully
Head 83.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 3.6% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 7.6%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Gonzaga L/A | Acc | Heavyweight med | McCully L/A | Acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 156 / 440 | 35.5% | 40.1% | 33 / 119 | 27.7% | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 43 / 64 | 67.2% | 70.6% | 23 / 38 | 60.5% | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 94 / 146 | 64.4% | 70.2% | 18 / 38 | 47.4% | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 186 / 507 | 36.7% | 38.9% | 57 / 163 | 35.0% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 42 / 60 | 70.0% | 76.8% | 4 / 7 | too few to rate | 76.8% |
| To the legs | 65 / 83 | 78.3% | 87.8% | 13 / 25 | 52.0% | 87.8% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Gonzaga L/A | Opp acc | Heavyweight med | vs McCully L/A | Opp acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 189 / 643 | 29.4% | 40.7% | 26 / 79 | 32.9% | 40.7% |
| In the clinch | 92 / 130 | 70.8% | 70.6% | 45 / 64 | 70.3% | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 90 / 133 | 67.7% | 72.0% | 24 / 36 | 66.7% | 72.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 310 / 820 | 37.8% | 38.8% | 56 / 137 | 40.9% | 38.8% |
| To the body | 33 / 50 | 66.0% | 75.1% | 31 / 34 | 91.2% | 75.1% |
| To the legs | 28 / 36 | 77.8% | 84.4% | 8 / 8 | too few to rate | 84.4% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gonzaga has more cage time on record.