BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Gabe Green vs.
Matheus Camilo

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-3-0 Gabe Green · UFC
2-1-0 Matheus Camilo · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-3-0
UFC record
2-1-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
33.3
AgeΔ 7.7 yrs
25.6
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
73"
ReachΔ 4"
69"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
14.7
Layoff (months)Δ 13.4 mo
1.3
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Matheus Camilo hunts takedowns — 4.16 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Matheus Camilo carries real power — 0.59 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Gabe Green absorbs 6.19 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Gabe Green

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 54
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.05 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Matheus Camilo

Full career not yet synced for Matheus Camilo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3535.60/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
562.22/min · norm 3.42
3906.19/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
773.05/min · norm 3.37
45.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
43.1%norm 43.5%
47.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
66.7%norm 56.3%
20.48/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.59/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Gabe Green

Distance 93.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 2.3% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 8.1%)

Matheus Camilo

Distance 92.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 5.4% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Gabe Green

Head 69.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 13.0% (norm 8.4%)

Matheus Camilo

Head 79.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Green L/AAccWelterweight med Camilo L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 318 / 731 43.5% 38.6% 51 / 120 42.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 11 / 18 too few to rate 67.8% 1 / 3 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 24 / 33 72.7% 67.2% 4 / 7 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 160 / 544 29.4% 37.2% 36 / 103 35.0% 35.0%
To the body 108 / 136 79.4% 70.7% 10 / 12 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 85 / 102 83.3% 82.9% 10 / 15 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Green L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Camilo L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 369 / 714 51.7% 39.0% 74 / 227 32.6% 38.9%
In the clinch 10 / 12 too few to rate 68.9% 2 / 3 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 11 / 13 too few to rate 68.0% 1 / 1 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 275 / 594 46.3% 35.6% 44 / 176 25.0% 35.1%
To the body 67 / 86 77.9% 69.6% 19 / 30 63.3% 68.1%
To the legs 48 / 59 81.4% 82.1% 14 / 25 56.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

350.0% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
753.8% acc · 4.16/15 · norm 1.38
850.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
0— def · norm 64.0%
8:3413.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
5:5523.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
11:062:38 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
2:361:32 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.48/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.59/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Green has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.